Sunday 14 December 2014

President Jonathan: A Litany Of Failed Promises by Babatunde Fashola

I welcome you to a change that is for the better.

I welcome you to change that will liberate Nigeria from inefficient national management.

I welcome you all delegates from across Nigeria, to Lagos, where the first building blocks of the country now known as Nigeria were laid.

I welcome you back to the epicenter of nationalism and the home of change, where our pre-eminent nationalists forced a change from colonial government to a Nigerian government.

I welcome you all back to where the promise of Nigeria was hatched, as a land of endless opportunities.

Unfortunately, the bridge between us and our opportunities have been shattered by a series of broken promises by a party, Government and President for whom promises mean nothing.

I have made it my task to record as many of the promises made by President Jonathan and his party. The lists of promises are as long as the list of disappointments.

All over Nigeria, he made promises to us and as far as Lagos is concerned, I can tell you that those promises remain unfulfilled without explanation.

I do not know what all experiences from your various states are, but I will repeat here, some of the promises that I recorded that he made across Nigeria and ask you to tell us whether they have been fulfilled.

To complete the second River Niger bridge before the expiration of the tenure
To make the Minister of Works to immediately start repairs of the road  leading to Murtala Mohammed International Airport
To transform all major routes in Damaturu to federal roads
To assist in resuscitating all the collapsed industries in Kano state
To set up a committee to review Federal government landed properties in Lagos, hand over those that should and retain those that should be in possession of the Federal Government.
To give Sokoto-Kotangora road unfettered attention
To  deliver stable, constant supply of electricity
To ensure that Nigerians do not use generators more than two times in a week
To explore the coal deposits in Benue and Kogi states for improved power supply
To reduce the importation of generators at least 90 percent in four years.
To address the issues of unemployment through diversification of the nation’s economy to that of sustainable agricultural development across the 36 states of federation
To create 1.5 million jobs in 2 years
To transform the economy within four years
To construct 2 world scale petrochemical plants, 2 fertilizer plants and 2 fertilizer blending plants.
To establish petrochemical plant around Koko Free Trade Zone in Delta State
To make Nigeria go beyond producing and exporting crude oil to exporting refined petroleum products because Nigeria has no reason to keep importing kerosene
To make anyone caught breaching the public peace to face the full wrath of the law.
To make sure that no part of the country is allowed to be a sanctuary for criminals anymore be they armed robbers or kidnappers
To make a complete transformation of national security architecture
To ensure there is no sacred cow in the fight against corruption; all crimes will be investigated as security is key.
 To strengthen EFCC and ICPC to fight crime
To embark on irrigation project to boost production; to start two projects in Kwara State
To boost farming activities by providing power and water
To re-build Ilesa water scheme
To  complete Ife/Ijesa dam
To provide sufficient water to the people of Taraba;
To revamp mining activities in Jos, Plateau State
To make solid mineral key revenue source in Nigeria
To fight corruption regardless of the position of the person involved
To play politics without bitterness.
To lead by example; strengthen the anti-graft agencies, not interfere and give free hand on all matters of investigation against any government official.
To ensure that the National Boundary Development  Agencies are funded to tackle the challenges that arose out of the ceding of Bakassi to Cameroun

Today, we must rebuild the bridge that will bring change to Nigeria and more Nigerians closer to the promise of Nigeria.

Today you will have the opportunity to change broken promises to fulfilled promises and rescue Nigeria from mismanagement and bad governance.

Our party has carefully developed a Manifesto through which the broken and unfulfilled promises made to the people of Nigeria can be actualized.

The Manifesto is anchored on changing insecurity to security.

That Manifesto will change a dysfunctional government to an efficient Government.

That Manifesto will change underdevelopment to rapid and accelerated development.

That Manifesto will change our poor circumstances to a prosperous dawn.

That Manifesto will change Nigeria’s global reputation from its current dismal status to one of international respect and global admiration.

One man will bear the responsibility and enormous burden for implementing that Manifesto and the change that it brings.

All of you, our delegates are the men and women to whom history has been so kind to bring to this day, to this State, to this venue and to this moment, to choose that man with your votes.

Let me be clear. What you are gathered to do is epical.

What you are gathered to do is not easy. Change is not easy.

What you are gathered to do is important to the whole world.

Let me remind you that we gather to vote to make a choice that will alter the way Nigeria develops and in that way, Africa develops.

You are gathered to elect the potential leader of Africa’s most populous nation.

You are gathered to elect the Ambassador of Change.

Please do so wisely, decorously and with a sense of duty.

God bless you all as you cast the votes to change Nigerians for the better. Long live the All Progressives Congress.

Long live the Federal Republic of Nigeria.

Thank you.


Babatunde Raji Fashola, SAN By Babatunde Raji Fashola

My duty today is simple; yet it is one that excites me very deeply because as I welcome you all to Lagos and to the first Presidential Convention of the All Progressives Congress, I am confident that I am welcoming you to change. I welcome you to a change that is for the better. I welcome you to change that will liberate Nigeria from inefficient national management.

s simple; yet it is one that excites me very deeply because as I welcome you all to Lagos and to the first Presidential Convention of the All Progressives Congress, I am confident that I am welcoming you to change.

I welcome you to a change that is for the better.

I welcome you to change that will liberate Nigeria from inefficient national management.

I welcome you all delegates from across Nigeria, to Lagos, where the first building blocks of the country now known as Nigeria were laid.

I welcome you back to the epicenter of nationalism and the home of change, where our pre-eminent nationalists forced a change from colonial government to a Nigerian government.

I welcome you all back to where the promise of Nigeria was hatched, as a land of endless opportunities.

Unfortunately, the bridge between us and our opportunities have been shattered by a series of broken promises by a party, Government and President for whom promises mean nothing.

I have made it my task to record as many of the promises made by President Jonathan and his party. The lists of promises are as long as the list of disappointments.

All over Nigeria, he made promises to us and as far as Lagos is concerned, I can tell you that those promises remain unfulfilled without explanation.

I do not know what all experiences from your various states are, but I will repeat here, some of the promises that I recorded that he made across Nigeria and ask you to tell us whether they have been fulfilled.

To complete the second River Niger bridge before the expiration of the tenure
To make the Minister of Works to immediately start repairs of the road  leading to Murtala Mohammed International Airport
To transform all major routes in Damaturu to federal roads
To assist in resuscitating all the collapsed industries in Kano state
To set up a committee to review Federal government landed properties in Lagos, hand over those that should and retain those that should be in possession of the Federal Government.
To give Sokoto-Kotangora road unfettered attention
To  deliver stable, constant supply of electricity
To ensure that Nigerians do not use generators more than two times in a week
To explore the coal deposits in Benue and Kogi states for improved power supply
To reduce the importation of generators at least 90 percent in four years.
To address the issues of unemployment through diversification of the nation’s economy to that of sustainable agricultural development across the 36 states of federation
To create 1.5 million jobs in 2 years
To transform the economy within four years
To construct 2 world scale petrochemical plants, 2 fertilizer plants and 2 fertilizer blending plants.
To establish petrochemical plant around Koko Free Trade Zone in Delta State
To make Nigeria go beyond producing and exporting crude oil to exporting refined petroleum products because Nigeria has no reason to keep importing kerosene
To make anyone caught breaching the public peace to face the full wrath of the law.
To make sure that no part of the country is allowed to be a sanctuary for criminals anymore be they armed robbers or kidnappers
To make a complete transformation of national security architecture
To ensure there is no sacred cow in the fight against corruption; all crimes will be investigated as security is key.
 To strengthen EFCC and ICPC to fight crime
To embark on irrigation project to boost production; to start two projects in Kwara State
To boost farming activities by providing power and water
To re-build Ilesa water scheme
To  complete Ife/Ijesa dam
To provide sufficient water to the people of Taraba;
To revamp mining activities in Jos, Plateau State
To make solid mineral key revenue source in Nigeria
To fight corruption regardless of the position of the person involved
To play politics without bitterness.
To lead by example; strengthen the anti-graft agencies, not interfere and give free hand on all matters of investigation against any government official.
To ensure that the National Boundary Development  Agencies are funded to tackle the challenges that arose out of the ceding of Bakassi to Cameroun

Today, we must rebuild the bridge that will bring change to Nigeria and more Nigerians closer to the promise of Nigeria.

Today you will have the opportunity to change broken promises to fulfilled promises and rescue Nigeria from mismanagement and bad governance.

Our party has carefully developed a Manifesto through which the broken and unfulfilled promises made to the people of Nigeria can be actualized.

The Manifesto is anchored on changing insecurity to security.

That Manifesto will change a dysfunctional government to an efficient Government.

That Manifesto will change underdevelopment to rapid and accelerated development.

That Manifesto will change our poor circumstances to a prosperous dawn.

That Manifesto will change Nigeria’s global reputation from its current dismal status to one of international respect and global admiration.

One man will bear the responsibility and enormous burden for implementing that Manifesto and the change that it brings.

All of you, our delegates are the men and women to whom history has been so kind to bring to this day, to this State, to this venue and to this moment, to choose that man with your votes.

Let me be clear. What you are gathered to do is epical.

What you are gathered to do is not easy. Change is not easy.

What you are gathered to do is important to the whole world.

Let me remind you that we gather to vote to make a choice that will alter the way Nigeria develops and in that way, Africa develops.

You are gathered to elect the potential leader of Africa’s most populous nation.

You are gathered to elect the Ambassador of Change.

Please do so wisely, decorously and with a sense of duty.

God bless you all as you cast the votes to change Nigerians for the better. Long live the All Progressives Congress.

Long live the Federal Republic of Nigeria.

Thank you.


Babatunde Raji Fashola, SAN

Friday 12 December 2014

Nigeria: A People, An Economy And Its Prospects


 For years Nigerians and their leaders took it for granted that oil revenue would last forever. The fact that it was a finite resource, requiring deft management so that maximum advantage could be derived from its limited years of exploitation, was sacrificed on the altar of politics, incompetence and greed.

Since 1956 when crude oil was first discovered in commercial quantity at Oloibiri in the present day Bayelsa State, the nation has obsessed over the commodity; its ownership, its sharing formular, its price in the international market and our share of that pie, which section of the country seemed to own more oil wells, foreign dominance of the production and other processes of oil exploration, the effects of oil spills, the need to diversify from a mono economy, its influence on corruption, ad infinitum .

There is indeed no aspect of the oil matter that we have not x-rayed in this country and there is no doubt that it had more than a salutary influence on the decision to fight a horrific 30-month civil war or why we are determined to stick together as one nation after one hundred years of contentious existence.

The influence of oil on the core nature of our nation’s character and history, and our place in the comity of nations today can hardly be over emphasised. As the 7th leading producer of oil and Africa’s biggest economy, Nigeria’s share in the economy of the region is substantial. There are nations in West Africa which practically exist the way they do now because of Nigeria. So any downward trend in the fortune of our country has consequences beyond our shores, beyond even our continent.

The recent fall in our share of oil revenue as the market witnessed its lowest profits in half a decade and as Nigeria’s number one customer, the United States of America, refused to buy any of our oil, has sent ripples all over and this is a grave cause for concern. Although there has been warnings over the progress of biofuel and the repercussion this could have on oil revenue, this recent shortfall yet caught our government floundering.

As oil prices hit a five year low, the Goodluck Jonathan administration took a couple of drastic measures in response to the crises. It was obvious from the sudden policy shifts that we have not made any kind of preparation for such a contingency despite all the warning signals.

Announcing a series of austerity measures, the government devalued the naira by some 8 percent and the currency immediately hit a low of 187.55 to the dollar.

Efforts by the Central Bank of Nigeria to peg trading within the usual brand of between 160 – 176 naira to the dollar failed and the premium bank also failed to meet its dollar demand at its bi-weekly auction.

In a typical week, the CBN used to trade between 200 million and 300 million dollars but as a result of this shortfall, it could only manage a high of 168 million dollars. The consequences of devaluing the national currency in a non productive economy with a moribund manufacturing sector is of course unpalatable.

To be fair, the government explained that it had to devalue the naira to halt the decline in foreign reserves which is now as low as 36. 8 billion dollars from an acceptable figure of 44.6 billion dollars a year ago, but with Brent oil trading at a middling 72 dollars a barrel, there was no way the government could keep doing business as usual.

Perhaps, therefore, an austerity measure is in some ways necessary. The 4.6 trillion naira budget for 2014 tagged “Budget for Jobs and Inclusive Growth” did not seem to have made any dent in the unemployment market. The envisaged growth of more than 7% per annum is also no longer feasible in the light of current realities. In fact, the money to be shared among the three tiers of government from the federation account has now been drastically reduced and a budget review is inevitable.

The finance minister had initially envisaged government revenue to be in the region of 3.73 trillion naira ($23.3 billion), a deficit of 1.9 percent of GDP, obviously forecast that is now an unrealistic figure.

Despite protestations, Nigerians at least know that some sort of cut-backs are necessary. The real danger to me is if we are unable to redirect the austerity measures towards wealth creation via the informal economic sector as a major strategy, the consequences of this challenges will be far more catastrophic. It is not a hidden fact that the economy of Nigeria is largely propelled by the informal sector. Therefore, it is necessary to point out that the people outside government who work hard to make a living should not be made to carry the brunt.

What the situation calls for is a drastic change in priorities. We need to ensure that most of the cuts are in the over-bloated recurrent expenditure of high end public servants from the presidency to the 36 state governments and the federal ministries and parastatals. Let the austerity measure target the monies earmarked for running government and public office holders; the money for foreign trips, for courses at home and abroad, for feeding and entertainment, for stationaries and renovation of offices and residencies, for laundering public image and ‘settlements’, and the ubiquitous conduit called Security Vote.

The state governments, particularly in the northern parts, should immediately commence the crucial job of increasing their internally generated revenue and massive wealth creation because, clearly, the days of relying on allocations from the federation account to prosecute all their programmes are over. The glorious days of bonny light (Nigeria’s highly sought after crude oil) is sadly behind us.

According to reports, “only 4.5 million barrels of Nigerian oil arrived at U.S. ports, down from a record high of 40 million barrels seven years earlier and by July, the spigot was shut off completely. Over the next six weeks, not a single drop of Nigerian light, sweet crude arrived in the U.S. – all of it replaced at Gulf Coast refineries by fracked oil from fields like the Bakken formation in North Dakota and Eagle Ford in Texas.”

As a consequence, “Nigeria became the first formerly flush oil producer to essentially lose its entire share of the U.S. market, leaving it scrambling for new customers, less able to fund its internal war on terror and less important to the U.S.”

Perhaps it is good that the crisis is coming to a head right now as Nigerians prepare for national elections. Faced with the reality that there is no longer a national cake that is simply there for the sharing, the people must see to it that they elect people into office who have proven track records of competency, honesty and ability to generate and manage wealth.

There is no ready money to be spent anymore. The federal government must now truly invest money, time and world class expertise in the accelerated development of the agricultural, manufacturing and productive sectors of the economy.

Reflections On The Primaries


If the two main political parties could, they would have presented candidates for elections without primaries. For weeks, if not months, the Peoples Democratic Party and the All Progressives Congress kept kicking the can down the road.

They were doing this for both strategic reasons and out of fear of the unknown. Given that next year’s election could be the most hotly contested since 1999, each party wanted to take advantage of the other’s misery. At the same time, each one was also aware that any internal injury could be worse than a predatory attack.

In her book, Hard Choices, Hillary Clinton narrated, in present tense, how the bitter rivalry during the primaries still got in the way between her and President Barack Obama’s White House staff. The former rivals just couldn’t get past the beef.

Wounds inflicted at primaries may be suppressed; they don’t heal. But parties, except North Korea’s politburo, have to deal with the sore.

The governorship and National Assembly primaries produced very interesting results. In Delta, my home state, the action was in the PDP. As gentlemen go, the state governor, Emmanuel Uduaghan, is a poster boy. He might not have delivered the moon on a stick, but after eight years in office, not a few think the LEADERSHIP Governor of the Year 2013 is leaving the state better than he met it.

His final wishes didn’t appear to be much – a Senate seat and the leeway to choose his successor. Aren’t these what most of the departing PDP governors agreed with President Goodluck Jonathan?

Shockingly, none of Uduaghan’s wishes came true. He would not be at the Senate and his preferred successor lost the primaries.

The official line is that he chose to work for the re-election of Jonathan, but, honestly, I don’t see how any of his two wishes would have prevented him from doing so. The unofficial word is that Uduaghan lost out in his power struggle against Tompolo and Edwin Clark.

They blocked the governor’s Senate ambition and thwarted his wish to install Anthony Obuh, while Jonathan looked the other way.

Life goes on. And no one knows that better than one of the five contestants for the PDP governorship ticket in Lagos – Musiliu Obanikoro. Forget his threat that it’s either his way or the highway. Losing politicians often make such threats to increase their afterlife value.

And in the case of Obanikoro losing the second time – this time to Jimi Agbaje – he really had to be dramatic for any hope of a third resurrection. Obanikoro should, however, be comforted that with Bode George as Agbaje’s new godfather, it won’t be long before they all get together again as one big losing family.

And did you notice how many bodies Dame Patience Jonathan had to trample over to install Nyesom Wike as the PDP candidate in Rivers State? I honestly don’t know what nice guys like Odein Ajumogobia and Tonye Princewill were looking for in the race. It’s a proxy war between Dame Jonathan and Governor Rotimi Amaechi and the battle axes have to be the most ruthless you can find. The Ogonis justifiably feel hard done by, but the battle has just begun.

Much the same can be said for Bayelsa. After weeks of denying any rift with Aso Rock, the parallel National Assembly primaries held in the state confirm that Governor Seriake Dickson is just steps away from a showdown with the Jonathans. Just in case he still has any illusions about how steamroller politics plays out, he could ask former governor Timipre Silva.

And did you notice that no zone had more parallel primaries than the south east? Three out of the five states in the zone had parallel primaries. It appears as if the primaries were business ventures. Depending on the size of one’s pocket, each aspirant simply arranged his own thing. In the end, almost all the aspirants emerged as candidates; there were no losers. Nice.

I must, however, commend the former minister of aviation Stella Oduah, who has shown that her political death was slightly exaggerated. She emerged, unquestionably, as the PDP’s candidate for Anambra North senatorial district. The princess who was preyed upon during most of her tenure for everything – from bullet proof cars to bullet proof skirts and oriental mascara – is just inches away from her comeuppance. She has my best wishes in the final race.

Even though Governor Godswill Akpabio paid for live coverage to show the world just how transparent the state’s governorship primary was, 23 aspirants boycotted the exercise, claiming the delegates list was rigged.

My advice to aspirants who find themselves in such situations in future is not only to publish the “authentic” list online, but also to record and stream their exit as it is happening, if they cannot afford the cost of TV coverage. That way, voters can choose which primaries to watch.

As for APC aspirant John Akpanudoedehe who complained that his rival Umana Umana hijacked the process and posted the result even before the process was completed, he should get over his misery fast.

If after serving as chairman of Akpabio’s election committee seven years ago, he still does not know that politics follows the money, then he does not know anything.



Still In A Fix Over The Barrel

At $65 per barrel, oil prices were at their lowest in years this week. After being held over the barrel for years, the US has finally earned its freedom from OPEC’s tyranny, by harvesting its own energy sources and turning the tables. Russia and Iran are in trouble already and both countries are trying to find ways to survive. Saudi Arabia’s deep pocket will keep it going for a while. Venezuela, Angola and Nigeria have been thrown to the wolves. With states in Nigeria already going bankrupt even at this early stage, if oil prices remain at current levels, I shiver to contemplate what would happen in two years’ time if we continue the way we have been doing things up there.

Thursday 11 December 2014

18 Critical Things Former President Obasanjo Said About President Jonathan In His New Book

"In the area of corruption, we have been going back steadily from the inception of Yar’Adua’s administration when the ‘hunter’ became the ‘hunted’," Obasanjo states. "Under Jonathan we seem to have gone from frying pan to fire. If in the past corruption was in the corridors of power, it would seem now to be in the sitting room, dining room and bedroom of power."




In his scathing new autobiography, My Watch, former Nigerian President Olusegun Obasanjo made a series of critical assertions against current President Goodluck Jonathan.

Due to the nature of the content, an ally of President Jonathan attempted to use a court order to block the publication of the book. President Jonathan also personally contacted the former president to appeal that the book not be published until next year, after the 2015 presidential election. Despite this My Watch launched yesterday, Dec. 9, in Lagos, in the presence of prominent political figures and officials.

Review of the three-volume text by SaharaReporters noted that the elder statesman holds nothing back, characterizing Mr. Jonathan as weak, callous and incapable of managing Nigeria.

He also criticizes the handling of the Boko Haram insurgency crisis, the PDP, and the Governors Forum, among other things. Excerpts from some of the most significant critiques are below.

On President Jonathan's character:

Jonathan is lacking in broad vision, knowledge, confidence, understanding, concentration, capacity, sense of security, courage, moral and ethical principles, character and passion to move the nation forward on a fast trajectory. Although he might wish to do well, he does not know how nor does he have the capacity to. To compound his problem he has not surrounded himself with aides sufficiently imbued with the qualities and abilities to help him out. Most of them are greedy hangers-on or hungry lacklustre characters interested only in their mouths and their pockets

President Jonathan can still make amends to save himself, many of his associates in government, his government, and the nation. If, in the end, he fails he will have no one but himself to blame. He has great opportunities, many of which only come once in a lifetime; and if he misses them it will only be due to his inadequacy, myopia, personal interest and self-aggrandisement, lack of sagacity, wisdom. I hope he can and will avoid having any cause for regret.

The longest period that I have met one-on-one with the president was for one hour and ten minutes. That whole time, the president talked about nothing that was in the interest of Nigeria; instead he kept pointing out his supposed enemies and various matters that would not serve his interests. I could not stop myself from blurting out: “Mr. President, no Nigerian should be your enemy. You have to rule over all of them whether or not they like you. Please, you have to be like rain falling on good and bad people alike.”

An elder statesman who formed a close relationship with President Jonathan very early in his presidency came to the conclusion, after six months, that the president has not got what it takes to lead. It was the same elder statesman who reportedly tried to jolt the president into action by telling him that there were five presidents in Nigeria, and these were his wife the first lady, Deziani, Oduah, Ngozi and the president himself, and that he was the weakest of the five.

On corruption:

In the area of corruption, we have been going back steadily from the inception of Yar’Adua’s administration when the ‘hunter’ became the ‘hunted’. But under Jonathan we seem to have gone from frying pan to fire. If in the past corruption was in the corridors of power, it would seem now to be in the sitting room, dining room and bedroom of power.

If what is called ‘corruption’ is stealing, under the watch of Goodluck Jonathan, then government has become legalised and protected robbery.

The presidency had instructed EFCC to remove a vital document in Gbenga Daniel’s file in their custody, to assist getting Gbenga Daniel off the hook. All these cases were reported to the president and were known to him; but because they involve the president’s interests, directly or indirectly, no action has been taken.

With the 2011 elections, heavy financial prices were paid to Lagos and Ondo State opposition political leaders to secure the vote for the president, against the interest of PDP at the state level...The situation where the president surreptitiously invited Bola Tinubu, lifting him at night by presidential aircraft from Lagos to Abuja to hatch a plan for Bola to support one PDP presidential candidate at the expense of all other PDP candidates for any office in Lagos, can only be described as obscene, unethical, corruption-ridden and a show of bad leadership...Whatever amount of money was given to Bola Tinubu to procure votes for the 2011 presidential election in Lagos was, to say the least, unnecessary. What made this phenomenon particularly bad was that government had raised the money from government transactions which fuel corruption.

I got a warning that this administration was attempting to induce two of my daughters, including Iyabo, to do a dirty job. I warned them both against it, but because of her character, the influence of her mother and her attitude, Iyabo succumbed; the other daughter did not.

On the Boko Haram insurgency, the insecurity crisis, and #BringBackOurGirls:

I was in Sierra Leone on the day Boko Haram [bombed] the UN building in Abuja. As soon as I returned to Nigeria I called the inspector-general of police to hear his views on the issue. I was not impressed with his explanation. I also talked to the then national security adviser and his explanation was substantially blank. I went to Jonathan, the president, on the same issue. His reaction, and his view that Boko Haram were ‘a bunch of riffraffs’ left me even colder.

The one incident that overtly and graphically exposed the ineptitude, ineffectiveness, inefficiency, carelessness, cluelessness, callousness, insensitivity and selfishness of Goodluck Jonathan was the abduction of about 276 school girls from Chibok in Borno State by Boko Haram. The reaction and attitude of our president and his household was non-belief, to the extent that 18 days passed before he grudgingly concede to accept the reality of the abduction. If serious action had been taken within 48 hours, the story could have been different.

I was not surprised that the president went dancing twenty-four hours after the Nyanya explosion that took seventy-five lives. I also found believable the statement allegedly credited to the president after both the Nyanya explosion and the Chibok school girls abduction to the effect that since some people in the North had said that they would make Nigerian ungovernable, they could keep on killing and abducting each other.

If these girls are not released, it will be a big dent on the presidency of Goodluck Jonathan, and a dark blot on Nigeria’s reputation and history; and, for years and indeed decades, Nigeria will continue to live with the agony and memory of the action and inaction of leadership regarding the Chibok school girls. But what is more, a bad precedent would have been created; Boko Haram has tasted blood and will always want more… Who knows, another group of terrorists might have learned from Boko Haram. This time it is Chibok; next time it could be Ibogun or Otueke.

Vice-President Biden had categorically told Jonathan during the African Summit in Washington in August 2014 that with the state of his governance and the level of the destruction of the military, they would not be able to help Nigeria.

On PDP and party politics:

A political party, and its leadership, that condones corruption and engages discredited people to abuse and insult genuine, authentic and objective critics is a political party on the path of ruin and destruction. The PDP must be rescued from that path, otherwise it will soon fade into history. Criticism, particularly objective criticism, is an indispensable element of democracy and a democratic dispensation.

PDP would need to be brought back to being a well-led, disciplined and respected, harmonious party that can easily win elections, rule and govern, and not one sacrificing the party’s interest for personal gain, setting governors of the party against each other, supporting candidates of other parties against candidates of the party as it happened in Lagos, Edo and Ondo States, and harassing credible leaders of the party and seeking to replace them with criminals and dubious characters in order to further presidential interests.

On the Nigerian Governors Forum election crisis:

Two governors from the [PDP] - Liyel Imoke of Cross River and Emmanuel Uduaghan of Delta States - and Godswill Akpabio from Akwa Ibom State by himself, came to me in Abuja, appealing to me to intervene in the situation of the Governors’ Forum, particularly in the disagreement within the PDP governors. Akpabio said starkly in his frank and outspoken manner: “We have messed up and don’t leave us alone. For me, I don’t want to go to jail and my children are too young. I will report our meeting to the President.” Nobody, including President Jonathan, would like to go to jail, and he knew he could, depending on how things turned out or failed to shape from then on.

I have always seen the Governors’ Forum as a type of trade union as they behave that way most of the time. [Jonathan] told the story of how Obong Atta was relieved of his position as chairman and Lucky Igbinedion was enthroned by less than fifty percent of the governors, and of how Bukola Saraki manoeuvred the Forum to serve his presidential ambition.

Democracy Gate: My Takeaway by Babatunde Raji Fashola

I watched dumbfounded, probably like many other Nigerians, and perhaps as many foreigners on global television, the Speaker of the House of Representatives and his colleagues locked outside the National Assembly. Many thoughts came flooding through my mind.

But the most important for me of those thoughts was simple yet profound. I asked myself when we will live by the RULES that we make.

As I pondered that question, my mind also went back to about 41 years ago, when my mother bought me my first rubber football. I had never played competitive football beyond kicking the ball around in our yard. I think it was my 10th birthday and I had done everything to get what I wanted – A football.

So off to the playground I went with my ball. To my surprise, all those I met there were bigger, older and more talented.

They took my ball and did not allow me to play. It hurt. I protested. At a time, they stopped the game, asked me to take my ball and never come back.

If I wanted to play, they said, I had to learn I had to earn my right to play, and owning the ball did not give me that right.

Those, were the RULES of engagement. It was skill, talent and hard work. Not who got to the field first or who owned the ball. Indeed, some people were selected in absentia, while we who got there first, had to wait, to see if we would get the unlikely chance to play. It never happened. At least not soon enough.

I made my decision. I would play by their RULES.

On the first day as I said, I did not get a game. To add salt to my personal injury of disappointment, the ball (made of rubber) hit a sharp object, promptly got deflated and destroyed.

I left without a game, with a deflated ego and a deflated and permanently damaged ball.

But my resolve was strong. I went back many times without getting a game. I made myself busy as a spectator. One day, the regular goalkeeper did not come. They needed one. I had no goalkeeping skills but offered to be in goal.

It was the only way to get in the game.

Surprisingly they agreed. I threw my feet, my body and anything I could move at the ball. I prevented many goals without knowing how. Somehow, they were making a discovery. They thought I was a great goalkeeper.

From that day, my story changed. My reputation in the neighbourhood went ahead of me. They called me all sorts of nicknames after famous goalkeepers and I even started getting picked while still at home and games were delayed for me to arrive.

After a length of time in goal, our star striker suddenly travelled, I asked if I could try to play outfield. Luckily another boy, Idris, was showing promise as a goalkeeper. My movement outfield gave him a chance. He seized it as I seized mine.

I scored in that game and my ordeal in the goal ended forever, while Idris relished his position in the goal. The place he favoured most.

We survived by following these unwritten RULES of street side football in Lagos and I am sure these RULES still prevail.

Nobody locked the field, removed the goal posts (often made of all types of materials) or stopped us from playing.

Many members of my generation who grew up in Lagos in the 1970s will remember these RULES. It was not first come first served. It was survival of the fittest. At least in terms of footballing skills, and also lobbying your friends who had the skills and had earned their stripes to pick you.

It was not a matter of my way or the highway. That was why I did not walk away with my ball, which incidentally was the only ball available on that first day.

Many years later, as a member of a veterans football club, the All Stars International Football Club in Surulere, that RULE remained applicable.

We had by then become men; husbands, fathers, and business leaders. We had a club Constitution but the RULES applicable on the field of play was not the Constitution. It was talent and ability, lobbying and friendship, not who got to the field first.

It worked injustice as far as some less endowed members were concerned. But those were the RULES.

The dissatisfied or excluded members bid their time. They gathered their numbers, lobbied the club executive and at a general meeting gathered enough majority to turn the tables against us.

They changed the RULES without bringing down the house.

The majority of members voted for first come, first to play. The club coach was mandated to get a register and people recorded their arrival numerically and by time.

Many of us “the Stars” as we considered ourselves, felt hard done by. We came late as was our old habit (and they die hard) only to see that the early birds had started the game. You could not register by proxy.

Why is all this relevant you might wonder?

It is about RULES. Every human endeavour is governed by RULES. Written and unwritten.

Those who thrive in life are those who make it their business to know these RULES and how to ‘use’ them to their advantage without physically damaging the process.

I have used the football metaphor, because football is life. Every game of football has many of life’s challenges and experiences embedded in it.

Passion, from fans and players, contest and competition from them, errors by players and officials, injustice by officials, joy, pain, disappointment, victory, defeat and many more are all human experiences that are embedded into each football game of 90 minutes, or more.

You will see tears and laughter as well on a football field. Tragically deaths have also occurred. Ask Bebeto how he felt when Kanu scored that wonder goal.

Romance and love have existed in and around football if you ask David Beckham and Gerard Pique.

Drugs and gambling are present from time to time, and so is violence, if you ask Zidane and Cantona.

There is a lot of drama too, if you ask referee Festus Bolaji Okubule.

Football has endured because all the stakeholders have chosen to live by the RULES, sometimes very unfairly.

We have seen faked fouls where officials are deceived to award undeserving penalties, erroneous red cards and sending offs, that alter the course of the game. But that is why football is LIFE.

We play on, in spite of these, because there is a next game, and what goes around comes around. If only we could manage our politics like football. How really pleasant this would be.

And this is the reason for my takeway on Democracygate, as I choose to call the assault on the National Assembly by the Executive.

Yes, the Executive, because the police is an agency under the direct control and supervision of the Executive and the buck on this matter must stop at the desk of the Chief Executive.

The genesis of that event is all too well-known.

Since 1999, the party in power has had the run of things. Governors and legislators had left other political parties in droves to join them.

From 1999, when that party had only 21 Governors, it grew in size by fair and foul means to almost 30 Governors at one time.

For 16 (Sixteen) years, it had a commanding majority in both chambers of parliament. Senators and House of Representatives members elected on other party platforms deserted their platforms to join the party in power.

It did not matter whether there was a faction or not within the party, they left.

The parties they left went to court but those cases often expired because the tenures of the parliamentarians often ended before the courts could decide.

The party in power enjoyed their spoils. In spite of the clear Constitutional provisions they turned a blind eye. These were the RULES as they wanted them.

The ‘losers’ did not did lock down parliament. They did not try to take the Mace. They sharpened their skills to play this game on the RULES defined by the party in power.

If you like, they were like a Manchester United of the Premier League in the 1990s. They could buy any player, they had more money, at least until a Roman Abramovich came to Chelsea and Etihad came to Manchester City.

Obviously the party in power did not see this day; when 5 (FIVE) of its governors would leave, and when a principal officer and indeed the head of one chamber of parliament it controls would also leave. Or did they ignore the signs?

It is my takeaway that they must live by the RULES they invented until the courts can determine the matter.

They cannot be allowed to invent new RULES; such as shutting down the parliament. It is nothing short of treason.

Parliament is the greatest expression of the will of the people in a democracy. If you aggregate the number of votes that elected each and every Member of Parliament, I would like to think that they will exceed the votes that elected the Executive.

If democracy is about the majority, the Executive is in the minority here. It cannot have its way.

As Charles Umeh put it recently in the Guardian Newspaper quoting Wael Ghonim “the power of the people is greater than the people in power.”

I find it incomprehensible and indefensible that the Executive could have attempted to subvert parliamentary independence and the will of the people.

We have seen some parliamentary brinkmanship even in the more developed democracies. But their Executives have not resorted to the type of impunity that we were assailed with back home.

Can you imagine the Capitol Hill or the House of Commons being taken over by policemen?

The matter is compounded by an attempt to change the story and talk about people jumping the fence or climbing the gate.

That may well be wrong, but we must never forget that events in life are a series of “causes” and “effects.”

But jumping the fence or the gate does not subvert the will of the people. It is an illegal taking over of parliament that is an assault on Nigeria.

Parliament is the stadium where politics is played. The rule book is the Constitution, the laws and rules made under it, and the conventions that have evolved.

Any assault on it is an assault on the people. You cannot do that. It is unconstitutional. Let us play by the RULES. We will be better for it.

—Babatunde Raji Fashola, SAN, is the governor of Lagos State.

It Is Just A Matter Of Time


That Nigeria is going through one of its most trying times is a known fact. That Nigerians are losing their confidence and patience is also clear. That the government is seen as incapable of doing anything about the social decay, political morass and economic malaise is also obvious. At a time people are looking for leaders, there are only officials. At a time people are yearning for action, they have been asked to pray. At a time Nigerian territories are being taken over by terrorists and Nigerians are being killed daily, others are dancing and shouting “Power!” because they want to remain in power when there is no power. But as Baba Garba would say, “it is just a matter of time”.

The Sunday Trust newspaper of November 30, 2014, carried a frightening story on page 10 about the Federal government awarding contracts worth N538 billion in 3 months. It gave a breakdown by geopolitical zones to bring out the glaring injustice. The south-south where the president comes from got a whopping N324.4 billion worth of contracts in those three months considered. It was followed by the southwest, N74.6 billion; then north central, N19.9 billion; even the southeast that has been shouting PDP Power loudest got only N1.321 billion worth of contracts only in that period. The northeast got, wait for it, N367m contracts while the northwest, where the vice president and those he listed in Kano recently come from got nothing! It is a matter of time. Before assuming office, the president and all government officials swore to “do good to all manner of people, without fear or favour, affection or ill will”. But, it is very obvious that the impression has been created in the minds of discerning public that there is fear of certain people, and that is why they are not even visited when calamity befalls them; and there is favour for certain people and that is why they could get eighty percent of contracts awarded in three months without any shame. It goes without saying therefore that there is affection for some and ill will for others! It is just a matter of time.

The current violent conflicts across the country are the cumulative effects of all the injustice and neglect various sections of the country have suffered over the years. The great philosopher and social reformer who founded the Sokoto Caliphate, Shehu Usman Danfodio once wrote that: “A kingdom can endure with justice even if there is disbelief (in God); but a kingdom cannot endure with injustice even if there is belief”. Peace and justice are two sides of the same coin, where there is justice, peace will prevail and where there is peace definitely there is justice. For, it is just a matter of time.

The situation is so pathetic now that Nigeria recently sponsored a resolution at the United Nations seeking to authorise Chad to send troops to help overcome the security challenges facing the country. Nigeria is so diminished that her leadership are recently always on the move to, wait a minute, Ndjamena, Chad, searching for peace here; how are we sure that Chad has no hand, a Chad whose president is a friend of the world acclaimed godfather of the Boko Haram insurgents as revealed by Dr. Steven Davis, the Australian, in public. Can anyone imagine Presidents Obasanjo, Babangida or even late Yar’Adua going to Chad to seek for help? The truth will eventually come out. It is a just a matter of time.

Part of the unimaginative propaganda of the President’s information managers of recent, is to read out a list – Defence Minister, Chief of Defence Staff, NSA and Inspector General of Police, and say that they are all from the northern states and that they were not able to contain the insecurity. Yes, all these people come from the northern states, but they are all appointees of the president. So, no one elected them to represent any constituency but they were appointed by the president and if they are found to be incompetent or incapable of effectively discharging their duties, why are they kept in office? This thing is beyond propaganda. It is just a matter of time.

If all the appointees of President Jonathan in the security, defence, economic and other sectors of government have all turned out to be failures, it only goes to show that President is a bad judge of character who is incapable of getting the right calibre of people to come and help him in the discharge of his executive functions. No one cares to know where any Nigerian comes from as long as he or she can deliver on his or her mandate efficiently. Talents abound in every local government area across the country and the president ought to have chosen the best. It is just a matter of time.

President Jonathan must remember that he is not the first southerner to be elected President in Nigeria. President Obasanjo was there before him but he was fair and just to all the components of Nigeria in all his actions. President Jonathan must also know that he is not the first Christian or “minority” to occupy the seat of Head of State of Nigeria. Gen. Gowon was there for nine years, during which even his deputy was Christian but no one complained or even remembered such things because he was fair and just to all and did not elevate religion in public affairs. These great leaders were after issues of development and not ‘my brothers’. It is just a matter of time.

Even during the civil war Nigeria was not as divided as now. Even during the worst military dictatorship Nigeria did not experience such wanton destruction of lives and property as now. Even under the worst kleptomaniac regime Nigeria has never experienced such magnitude and scale of stealing and corruption as now. Throughout its history, Nigeria has never been as insecure and unsafe as now. But, it is just a matter of time.

Logically we should be an agriculturally strong country. The reality is otherwise. Logically we should be industrialised by now, given our natural resources, our human resources and our immense capacity for work; the reality is otherwise. Logically we should be enjoying a good standard of living in the sense of adequately feeding ourselves, clothing ourselves, housing ourselves, educating our children and living decently, the reality is otherwise. The reality of our lives defies logic and explanation. It is a tragic paradox created by situations we could have avoided but, for some complacent reasons, we refused to. It is just a matter of time and history is always on the side of the oppressed.

Wednesday 10 December 2014

Falling Oil Price Could Breed Political Instability – Experts


Analysts have continued to predict hard times for countries like Nigeria whose foreign exchange income is largely dependent on oil export.

They fear that the steady decline in prices of crude oil poses great danger for them.

According to The New York Times, the price of crude oil continued to collapse on Monday, plunging to a five-year low as oil giants began to scale back on their drilling ambitions and pare the ranks of their workers.

On the same day that the American oil benchmark traded around $63 a barrel, down more than four per cent, ConocoPhillips announced it would cut investment spending in 2015 by 20 per cent, the biggest sign yet that major oil companies are contracting. The announcement came on the heels of BP’s notice that it would cut middle management and other jobs in the months ahead.

Both moves, according to experts, suggest that the 40 per cent drop in oil prices since July had spread pain beyond small exploration companies that were highly leveraged and most vulnerable to oil price swings.

“We are setting our 2015 capital budget at a level that we believe is prudent given the current environment,” said ConocoPhillips’ chairman and chief executive, Ryan Lance.

But even with the sharp cut in investments, the company projected that its oil and gas production would grow three per cent next year because of recent start-ups of major projects in Canada, Europe and Asia as well as increasingly productive wells being drilled in the Eagle Ford and Bakken shale fields of Texas and North Dakota.

That forecast, combined with the slow decline in drilling rigs deployed in fields worldwide, indicates that whatever hopes Saudi Arabia and other OPEC producers have that lower prices will lead to quick production declines are unlikely to happen before late 2015. The cartel decided last month to keep its 12 members’ production quotas steady, in a move that accelerated the oil price drop.

Energy experts say that more production will most likely lead to even lower oil prices, unless the economies of Europe and Asia recover more quickly than expected or if there is a major new political disruption in the Middle East or North Africa.

Wall Street analysts continued to lower their predictions of where oil prices are headed in 2015, with some projecting that global oil prices could break below even $50 a barrel — the biggest collapse since prices briefly plunged by about two-thirds during the most recent recession.

“With OPEC on the sidelines, oil prices face the greatest threat since 2009 and appear to be on track for a volatile 2015,” Morgan Stanley said in a commodity report on Monday.

But the report added that “oversupply is likely exaggerated and the market may be complacent about upside risks.”

So far, the drop in oil prices has been a boon for consumers. The national average price for a gallon of regular gasoline was $2.67 on Monday, according to the AAA auto club, 27 cents lower than a month ago and 59 cents below a year ago. Energy experts say that every 10-cent drop in gasoline prices translates into a $120 in annual savings for the typical family that consumes 1,200 gallons a year.

And beyond the recent announcements of cutbacks, companies like ConocoPhillips are considering deferring investments in oil fields around the globe, especially in high-priced offshore and shale fields.

The Norwegian oil giant Statoil has announced job cuts, and suspended or canceled rig contracts. Royal Dutch Shell and Chevron cut jobs in their North Sea operations even before oil prices plunged.

Precision Drilling, Canada’s largest oil and gas drilling contractor and a global player, announced Monday that it was cutting its capital spending next year by 44 percent.

Raymond James on Monday issued a report highlighting budget reductions of oil field service companies. “Peak to trough, we think the total U.S. rig count will decrease by 587 total rigs (or nearly 30 percent) by mid-2016,” Raymond James projected.

“In a low-price environment, investments are harder to justify,” said Michael E. Webber, deputy director of the Energy Institute at the University of Texas at Austin. Mr. Webber added that what was happening had occurred repeatedly in the oil business over the last century.

“This is what commodity markets do,” Mr. Webber said. “They go to high price, and high price inspires new production and also inspires consumers to use less. After a couple of years of that, prices collapse. Then low prices inspire consumers to consume more and encourage suppliers to turn off production. Then you get a supply shortage and prices go back up.”

Globally, economists project that countries with high fuel import bills like Japan and China should benefit from lower energy costs.

China’s trade surplus soared in November to a new high because of steeply falling prices for oil and other imported commodities. India and Indonesia have already been able to shave subsidies on gasoline to reduce their burdensome fiscal deficits.

But for oil-producing countries like Russia, Venezuela, Nigeria and Iran, falling oil prices threaten their government programs, currencies and ability to pay debts.

Their political stability could also be at risk while the Persian Gulf countries appear to be in better shape financially to withstand plunging oil prices, but future reductions in their sovereign wealth fund global investments could hurt some financial markets.

The drop in oil prices may even hurt natural gas exporting countries since gas prices are often tied to oil prices in European and Asian markets. Along with a projected supply surge between 2015 and 2019, lower prices could jeopardize several large proposed liquefied natural gas export projects in the United States and Canada.

The Malaysian national oil company Petronas last week announced that it was delaying a final investment decision on a $36 billion liquefied natural gas project it was leading in British Columbia.

National Convention: PDP Challenges APC To Presidential Debate On National Issues


Ahead of today’s national convention of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), the ruling party yesterday said President Goodluck Jonathan is ready to engage whoever emerges candidate of the opposition, All Progressives Congress (APC) to a debate on issues in the country.

PDP, while taunting APC said that even if the opposition party fields two presidential candidates, Jonathan will defeat them.

While they cautioned the opposition against campaigns of propaganda and lies, the ruling party added that President Jonathan is a good product that will make the work of the party easy during the campaigns for 2015.

Speaking at a pre-national convention press briefing, chairman of the publicity committee for the national convention, Olisa Metuh, declared that today’s convention will elect President Jonathan as sole candidate of the party in consonance with the Electoral Act and the party’s constitution.

He also noted the positions of Dr Adamu Mu’azu as national chairman of the party; Prof Wale Oladipo as national secretary; and Adewale Adeyanju as national auditor of the party. They were operating in acting capacity.

He disclosed that 3073 delegates will vote at the convention billed to hold in Abuja.

National Executive Committee (NEC) of the party had in October endorsed President Jonathan as sole candidate of the party after all organs of the party individually endorsed him as their candidate.

Metuh said immediately after the emergence of its candidate they will welcome the opposition to issue based campaigns, based on manifesto and ideology, noting, “We don’t expect that the campaigns will be based on lies and name calling but on Ideas.”

He said, “We have a very good product to sell to Nigerians. President Goodluck Jonathan will win the 2015 presidential poll based on his popularity. We are today sending notice to the opposition party, the APC to expect a crushing defeat at the poll. In view of our confidence, preparedness and the popularity of our candidate, we declare and urge the APC to put forward its two frontline aspirants.

in one pot, namely: Gen. Muhammadu Buhari and Alhaji Atiku as joint presidential candidates with their collective credentials and followership to face our president, Goodluck Jonathan.

“For us in the PDP, we are certain that with the grassroot support and love we enjoy from Nigerians across board, President Goodluck jonathan will secure an emphatic victory against any presidential candidate of the APC or all the candidates put together as one. “

He continued “Let us elevate the conduct of this election. We will base it on who is best for this country in terms of unity of this nation, who is best to stabilise our public policy, who is best to lead us to prosperity. On those three and other issues we will debate whoever is the candidate of APC”.

He added “We will debate APC candidate on issues of unity, stability and peace of the nation.‎”

‎On the ratification of President Goodluck Jonathan’s sole candidature he said “We know he is the sole candidate but still have to go through the election as provided by the electoral act and constitution of the party.”

He added that by the commencement of the convention, a notice has been served to the opposition APC to expect a crushing defeat at the polls.

He said “ With President Jonathan our nation will continue in the path of unity, stability and prosperity, which has been the driving force and inspiration of our government in delivering our mandate in the last three years. This trinity of unity, stability and prosperity has made him the most suitable President for our great nation in these present times.

“Never in the history of our nation have we witnessed the insurgency that is ravaging parts of our country. The insurgency is hitting at the heart of our national unity and cohesion. Instead of reacting in ways that could damage the trust and love of Nigerians for one another, the President has acted more on the side of caution by ensuring that actions to defeat terrorism are carefully thought-out and pursued.”

The party added that following Jonathan’s demonstrated commitment to credible, free and fair elections, the votes of the electorate now count as exemplified in the Edo, Ondo, Anambra, Ekiti and Osun gubernatorial elections.

“The president has been able to stabilize the polity by his pan Nigerian outlook and approach to governance. The stability of our nation has strengthened national unity. Today, he has been able to give every geo-political zone a sense of belonging in terms of infrastructure development, economic and human capital empowerment.

“Besides, the visible and concrete infrastructure development in our nation, President Jonathan has been able to demonstrate a deep sense of equanimity in providing leadership, in spite of the incendiary remarks by some opposition leaders.

“Amidst the recessions and economic downturn in most nations of the world, our economy has been stabilized, our unity preserved and our democracy enhanced.‎”

They added that under President Jonathan, there has been “remarkable progress and landmark developments in all sectors of the Nigerian public life, through his Transformation Agenda.”

He added that “the administration has revived the comatose railway transportation with some of the rail lines already in operation. Lagos-Kano is already in operation with new coaches providing improved services.

“Not only have the nation’s highways improved, ongoing works can be seen in almost all parts of the country. When the Jonathan administration came on board, only 5,000 out of the 35,000 kilometers of federal roads were motorable. Today, the Jonathan government has rehabilitated and reconstructed 20,000 additional kilometers. The remaining 10,000 kilometers will be completed in the next three years while other new road projects will be executed.”

The party added that there have been monumental achievements in the agriculture sector, particularly in the distribution of fertilizer, development in the production of rice, cassava and other Nigerian staples.

PVC Distribution Poorly Timed – INEC Observer Muazu Elazeh


An accredited observer of the Independent National Electoral Commission-INEC’s distribution of voter cards, Justice and Equity Organisation has said the timing for distribution of the cards in Katsina State has not made room for potential voters to obtain their cards.

Addressing newsmen, yesterday, the group said the timing of the exercise “which collided with parties primary elections “ was not good enough.

Tuesday 25 November 2014

SHOCKING NEWS: Two Politicians In Lagos Caught With Many Litres Of Fresh Human Blood

Policemen attached to the Imota Police Station in Ikorodu Local Government Area of Lagos State, were amazed to the bone marrow when the contents of 2 25-litre jerry-cans they found in the possession of two men they arrested, turned out to be human blood.


The arrested men identified as Alfa Balogun Tajudeen Ogunsanya, who hails from Gberigbe community in Ikorodu, and an unidentified stranger who residents were not able to identify, were arrested in the early hours of yesterday trying to sneak away with the containers which police initially suspected to be stolen petroleum product since the area has an high occurrence of pipeline vandalization, but they were dumbfounded when they turned out to be fresh human blood.
One of the residents of Gberigbe, who gave his name as Amos Oludero, narrated how the men were arrested:
We identified one of the men as a native of this town but the other man is strange to us. They wanted to alight from a car near the town hall opposite Fezbam filling station, each of them with a 25-litre jerrycan. While Ogusanya came down first, the cover of the jerrycan being carried by the second man opened and blood spilled on the ground.
Oludero said this attracted the attention of other residents and passers-by who came together and discovered the kegs were full of blood.
He added that they were immediately arrested and taken to Imota Police Station by policemen.
However, another resident said that it might be a move by Ogunsanya to incriminate another family over a land dispute.
This was attempted in the past in a case of land dispute. The appeal court ruled in favour of Orelabi family on the disputed mass of land in Gberigbe. The Alfa arrested yesterday is from Ogunsanya family. He might be going to keep the cans in the compound of the other family and later call the police to arrest members of that family.
Meanwhile, the police said the men had been transferred to the State Criminal Investigation Department, (SCID), Panti, for further investigation.

Monday 24 November 2014

Advances in Architectural Geometry/Design

I get a nudge each time i watch this thus propelling me to do something really crazy, but the environment isn't helping




The 15 Year Old Boy, Kelvin Doe, That Wows M.I.T

Kelvin Doe (born 26 October 1996 in Freetown), also known as DJ Focus, is a Sierra Leonean engineer. He is known for teaching himself engineering at the age of 13 and building his own radio station in Sierra Leone, where he plays music and broadcasts news under the name "DJ Focus." He was one of the finalists in GMin's Innovate Salone idea competition, in which Doe built a generator from scrap metals. Doe would constantly use discarded pieces of scrap to build transmitters, generators, and batteries, as well.

As a result of his accomplishment, he received an invitation to the United States and subsequently became the youngest person to participate in the "Visiting Practitioner's Program" at MIT. His accomplishments were documented by @radical.media and presented on their corporate YouTube channel. When the video went viral, the story was picked up by CNN, NBC News, and The Huffington Post.

Doe subsequently was a speaker at TEDxTeen and lectured to undergraduate engineering students at Harvard College. In May 2013, Doe signed a $100,000 solar project pact with Canadian High Speed Service Provider Sierra WiFi.

To Heal A Fractured Nation by Bishop Matthew Hassan Kukah

A house divided against itself cannot stand. I believe this government cannot endure, permanently half slaveand half free. I do not expect the Union to be dissolved — I do not expect the house to fall — but I do expect it will cease to be divided…It will become all one thing or all the other.


The above quotation comes from Abraham Lincoln’s famous speech, known now as the House Divided Speech Was delivered in Springfield, Illinois on June 16th, 1858. It was one of his greatest, moment defining speeches, delivered at a very critical period of the nation’s life. In a slightly different, less dramatic context, I believe it speaks to our moment because it draws attention to the moral choices a society has to make. We may be physically free from slavery in Nigeria today, but we are in a form of bondage that requires that we respond with the same candour that drove Abraham Lincoln because I believe that our nation requires a balm of healing well beyond the silence of the guns.



Today, we are told that the Boko Haram insurgency is only a foretaste of what is still to come. We are told that Nigeria is likely to split into tiny pieces sooner than later. We have the words of a scapegoat or a prophet to prove this. Professors, politicians, traditional rulers, bishops, priests, market women are all talking about it in fear and trepidation: The red flag has been raised by the moral policeman of the world: The United States of America has predicted that Nigeria will collapse in 2015. We are only to prepare to take our place in the funeral parlour as we prepare to bury Nigeria. Moving home and returning home have become routine scarecrows that prey on our fears. This lecture is about exploring some the fractures that have produced these fears, anxieties and hopes.



We have developed different longstanding vocabularies for expressing the manifestation of these fractures in our daily lives: marginalization, Nigerian factor, ethnicity, national character, federal character, North and South, Christiansand Muslims, Minorities and Majorities. These catch phrases continue to haunt almost every sphere of our national life.



1: Nigeria’s Fracture: Colonialism and the wheels of human history

On a visit to Jordan in 1998, I was told of a place called Churchill’s hiccup. According to the anecdote, Churchill, who was Colonial Secretary for Colonies, boasted that he created Jordan by the stroke of a pen! Apparently, on the said day in 1921, Churchill had taken one drink too many at lunch and then went on to create what accounts for the sharp zig-zag that constitutes the strip of land on the Eastern border between Jordan and Saudi Arabia. Some people would say that Nigeria has just celebrated 100 years of its own Churchill’s hiccup! This therefore is the first fracture of what is today modern Nigeria.



It is largely a waste of time for us to continue to argue today about the pros and cons of colonialism and about whether colonial fractures were right or wrong. After all, had the British not come, we are not sure what our collective fates would have been in the face of the conquering and slave raiding armies of the Sokoto Caliphate, the empire builders of Benin, Kwararafa, or Oyo and Zamfara, among many others.



A lot of those who agonise about colonialism focus on itsconquest and subjugation but pay little attention to the fact that this was in fact part of the turning of the wheel of human history. The disciplines of both history and anthropology have shown that colonialism is the universal process of movement of human civilization, it is part of the human experience with domination, control andoppression, and it is part and parcel of the struggle and negotiation for power among peoples. The story of colonialism is a vital part of the tapestry of the history of all nations of the world. The colonial state laid the foundation for the emergence of the modern state as we know it today in developing nations. The structure and forms of colonial governments were inherently unequal and inequalities lay at the roots of the system. Some nations seem to have been able to mend their colonial fractures with some success. Why has Nigeria been unable to make the transition? How have succeeding elites exacerbated the fractures and wounded the nation further?  It is to these that I now wish to turn my attention.

2: Nigeria’s Fracture: Its Causes and Consequences

At independence, Nigeria adopted the Westminster Parliamentary system of government. The historical development of those processes is the subject for another platform. However, the nation’s greatest achievement was sealed when the British flag was lowered and the Nigerian flag of green-white-green was hoisted. The Parliament was a galleon of colours filled with a paroxysm of voices.



To honour Nigeria and to show its promise, the very influential international TIME Magazine (December 5th, 1960 edition) took the historic decision of making Sir Abubakar Tafawa Balewa its cover person and Nigeria. It followed with a sub heading: The Other Africa: Independence Without Chaos. This pointed at the optimism about the prospects of Nigeria developing along the path of honour, non-violence and progress. In the lead story, the magazine noted: Along with its echoes of Britain’s Westminster, the legislature over which Sir Abubakar presided last week had some flavour of Pan African Congress. On its benches, tall, haughty Hausas, splendidly robed in green and scarlet, sat among volatile Ibos draped in white azure gowns. Across the aisle were Yoruba tribesmen wrapped in gold, yellow and orange with little porkpie beanies on their heads. Between them, they constituted the world’s noisiest Parliaments. Each Speaker was greeted with cries of “Heah, heah” from his friends and derisory shots of “Sit down, you wretched fool” from his foes. From the rostrum came the perennial plea for “Oda, Odah”. But somehow, through the din, the nation’s problems got discussed and decided.



The reporter was far more generous than these early lines suggested because he went on to raise a banner of hope for Nigeria. He continued: In the hurly burly of the 1960s African avalanche of freedom, Nigeria’s impressive demonstration of democracy’s workability in Africa is too often overlooked…Nigeria entered the world community without noisy birth pangs or ominous warnings of its determination to avenge ancient wrongs. Since moderation and common sense are not the stuff that headlines are made of, the world’s eyes slid past Nigeria to focus worriedly on the imperialistic elbowings of Ghana’s Nkrumah….In the long run, the most important and enduring face of Africa might well prove to be that (face) presented by Nigeria. Where so many of its neigbhbours have shaken off colonialism only to sink into strong man rule, Nigeria not only preaches but practices the dignity of the individual.



So how did Nigeria take its eyes off this ball which was heading straight into the goalpost of opportunity, dignity and freedom? How did Nigeria end up delaying its journey to greatness? There are bound to be many and contradictory explanations. There is enough blame to go around all the regions, religions, communities, individuals, the political class, the military and weavers of national and international conspiracy theories. However, our intention here is merely to highlight just three phases in our national life that account for the major fractures that we are referring to.

First fracture caused by the first military coup: Northern Dominance


The first fracture in post-colonial and post independent Nigeria was caused by the blow of the first military coup. By this singular act, the military shattered the glass of optimism elevated by the writers in TIME Magazine and chose bullets rather than the organised noise that represents the very essence of the Democracy that Nigeria had inherited.



Many attempts have been made to justify and explain how gallant the intention of the coup plotters was and how they would have resolved some of our lingering national issues and created a truly just polity. This truly begs the question because, the truth is that in principle, to the extent that military intervention is not the will of the people, its rape on Democracy can never be justified, no matter the nobility of the cause. For, as we shall show, that coup opened up a can of worms that would afflict the entire nation and throw up challenges that would delay the healing of our nation.For some inexplicable reason, the period of military rule after the coup that overthrew General Gowon in 1975, witnessed the prolonged dominance of the levers of power by northern Muslims. This phase of our national life witnessed major policy shifts such as the ill-advised misadventure of the Babangida administration with the Organisation of Islamic Conference (OIC), the lingering anxieties over the status of Islamic law in the Constitution, and the rise in the curve of religiously induced violence across the northern states. These left severe fractures, some of which still haunt our nation.

Second fracture caused by the Civil War: Eastern Grievances


The second major fracture in the Nigerian polity was caused by the civil war. General Gowon’s policy of three Rehabilitation, Reconstruction and Reconciliation did not go far because many of those who worked with him did not share his enthusiasm in the philosophy of ‘no winner, no vanquished’. Thus, today, the Igbos still nurse grievances that they have not been fully integrated in national life across the nation. Whether one agrees with these claims or not, time has not healed the fracture and we cannot ignore its feature in our national life. However, right till date, this feeling of injury permeates every facet of our national life, from politics, the bureaucracy, the military, the economy and almost everything else.

iii. Third fracture caused by the Creation of states: Loss of sense of national unity



The third fracture was the creation of states which replaced the regions left behind by the colonial administration. Unlike post-colonial states such as Ghana, Kenya, India, South Africa and other African countries, it seems that only Nigeria enthusiastically and, to my mind, wrongly opted for state creation as a means of resolving the crisis that followed independence. Other countries soldiered on, coping with military interventions, corruption and violence, and still saw wisdom in leaving the internal colonial boundaries such as Regions or Provinces largely intact with very minor adjustments. The painstaking care and thought that went into the creation of Provinces and regions by the colonial administration contrasts very sharply with the arbitrariness that followed the creation of states and local government areas in Nigeria.



Whereas the local bureaucrats greeted states creation with enthusiasm, facts have shown that the balkanization of the political space has only deepened the frustrations, bitterness and hatred among Nigerians. The creation of these states, and later local government areas merely offered local elites new fiefdoms with yesterday’s majorities becoming minorities or vice versa. The first noble intention was to avert the civil war. It did not work. The second was to allay the fears of minorities. That too has not worked as we can see from the embarrassing demands today for over 100 new states and a thousand Local Government Councils. The effect of these fractures still haunts our nation today as more bitterness, angst, suspicion and fear continue to stalk the land. At local levels, the ubiquity of emirates, traditional institutions have all further opened up new fractures as communities, clans and families have all turned on one another.



Tragically, whereas the colonial state left us a workable state with some infrastructure relative to the resources of the time, a sound educational base and a bureaucracy, subsequent military regimes merely superintended over the destruction, collapse and decay of these institutions one after the other. Rather than diagnosing and seeking cure to these ailments, successive regimes only deepen the wounds of the nation by institutionalising violence. The sense execution of alleged coup plotters and armed robbers only added to the sense of injury and the glorification of violence.



How then do we address the problem of national healing? Some of us, including myself, have an injury in some part of our body that is the result of a fight or a sport, an accident of one form or the other. These injuries have since been cured. However, healing has not taken place. What I mean here is that although we may not feel the injury, each time we look at the scar we remember what caused it. I argue that healing of our national injuries will be the result of a combination of factors. If we gloss over injuries as we have tended to do, we will surely pay the price, as we can see inthe volatility that has become part and parcel of our national life. The resort to violence by many communities today arises from that feeling of unhealed injury, leading to frustration. What strategies, then, should we adopt to effect deep and lasting national healing?

3: Vehicles for Healing the Fractures of our Nation

What is the best strategy for effecting healing in post conflict societies or societies in transition? What policy measures should a society in transition take to ameliorate the trauma of the past? How should the accounts of the past be read and written? These and many other questions need to be asked.



There are many strategies but the most common for many nations in the last twenty years was the resort to Truth Commissions. These initiatives have their own logic and often they may have opened the wounds of society, but they tended to leave the society even more divided than healed. Nigeria has already experimented with the Truth Commission model. The federal government under President Obasanjo attempted to commence a process for healing our fracture through the setting up of the Human Rights Violation Investigation Commission. Sadly, that initiative got caught up in the web of politics and intrigues and became a victim of the politics of the day. It was illustrative of the fact that our nation was still not ready to lance the boil so as to commence a process towards healing.

The Report of the Oputa Panel, released or not, should have been the stuff of research in the Political Science Faculties in our Universities so that we can work towards writing a better history of our nation for the next generation. Sadly, from my experience, there is more interest among foreign researchers abroad in the work of the Commission than in Nigerian Universities. My book, Witness to Justice gives an account of my personal experience, the trials and also the hopes and opportunities I saw in the work.

It is not my intention to explore this theme here or to ask why this did not work for us. What I think I need to do is to focus more on what is before us, namely, the fact that we are faced with a broken country in need of healing, to see what other options there might be.

3: 1. Education as a Vehicle for Healing:ny kind of inspiration.



It is difficult to find any other country in the world that has done as much disservice to its educational system as Nigeria has done. This destruction is really another word for describing almost every facet of our national life. Looking at all public institutions of yesterday, from hospitals, roads, railways, bureaucracy, etc., one would be forgiven for believing that those who governed us all these years came to deliberately preside over the destruction of everything they laid their hands on. Their inefficiency and corruption merely deepened the sense of fracture and frustration.



Many Nigerians are wont to argue that the takeover of schools by the Gowon administration was the first strike that dealt the most severe fracture on the nation’s educational system. Looking back, whatever good intentions the Gowon government may have had, these intentions were later turned into a license for vengeance, victimization and high expressions of envy.



Since Nigeria’s return to Democracy in 1999, we have witnessed a new turn, marked by a combination of passion for our people and a sense of remorse and repentance. In all the Southern States, we have seen Governors genuinely becoming aware of the fact that the takeover of schools was a mistake and that to restore quality in education, the state needs to collaborate with the faith communities. We today witness a return to what ought to have been, namely, federal and state governments seeing the faith and ethnic community associations as partners. These commendable efforts are now bearing fruit in almost all the Southern States. But not so in the North, ironically, the worst hit in calculating every index of development.



In the northern states, those in power are still looking backwards, weighed down by fear, prejudice and pure ignorance. Sadly, northerners have come to see the takeover of schools as an arrest of the growth of Christianity. Many northern Muslims seem to be blinded to the opportunities that secular education holds out for the future. They continue to tinker with education, refusing to create a more integrative system that can harmonise the rich cultures and diversity of our nation. They continue to hoist the word religion as an excuse for not opening up the society. The result is that the region continues to produce generations of young men and women who cannot compete with the larger society. Driven by this insecurity, they fear change and are quick to reject the unknown. They are more comfortable in the womb of religion. This is what has produced the toxic, nihilist and murderous doctrines that drive the madness called Boko Haram.



What is important for our reflection here is to answer the question: how can education become a tool for healing and integrating a fractured nation? Indeed, there can be no healing without education. Education must be a tool for nation building because it is the source of knowledge. Therefore, the kinds of people and the environment around which that knowledge is transmitted must not be left to chance. We have witnessed the systematic decline of the status of the teacher, the pivot of education.



In the murky waters of corruption in Nigeria, teachers have fallen victim and are involved in nearly all the petty crimes of survival that the rest of us are involved in, except of course, such lucrative ones as fuel subsidy or pension fund scams, kidnapping or oil bunkering, which are the preoccupation of their ex and current students! Other nations have not been as irresponsible and criminal as Nigeria has been despite having the same colonial roots and experiences. Asian and Latin American countries have used education to uplift their people, restore their dignity and create viable nations. The problems have not gone away, but clearly, from these, we have a few lessons to learn.

Costa Rica

Take Costa Rica, a small country which in many respects is the model for the value of education. I came into contact with the news of their system purely by accident. In 1998, I was invited to speak at a conference in the United States on the military and the struggle for Democracy. After my presentation, we went on a tea break. A man walked up to me and introduced himself. I am Oscar, he said, to me, Oscar Arias. The name rang a bell but I did not wish to speculate. He moved me gently in the direction where coffee was being served. Our conversation went something like this: Father, he said to me, I enjoyed your presentation and your enthusiasm. But I must tell you, the military is not what you think it is. It is not as powerful as you think. It can be overthrown peacefully. You do not need the military. My country has the experience and I can show you how this can be done. I wondered who this man was. His humility was striking and his eloquence suggested a man who had a lot of experience in what he was talking about. He continued: Education is the key to ridding any country of the virus of the military. In my country, we invested a lot in education and we have reaped the fruits. Now, we do not have a military and, rather than feel threatened, we actually feel stronger as a people and as a nation.



He went on to explain how the founders of modern Costa Rica had battled to lay the foundation for a sound educational system as the basis for security. They believed that an educated populace would be able to defend themselves against the greatest enemy, ignorance and poverty. Suddenly, the co-ordinator of the Conference walked to us and I heard him say, This way, Mr. Arias, the next session is about to start and you are the Chairman. He walked away and it was when he was introduced at the session that I realized that I had been with Mr. Oscar Arias, the former President of Costa Rica and winner of the Nobel Prize for Peace!



Arias was also the epitome of those leaders who left their countries, got a good education and came back home with a clear idea of how to fix their societies. He received his education in Costa Rica, but then went on to Boston University in Massachusetts, London School of Economics, and the University of Essex, United Kingdom. These roundly educated persons often are great reformers who often effect change arising from the quality of education they received and the time they may have had to plan a future for themselves and their countries. Dr Arias was President from 1986-1990 and received a Nobel Prize for Peace in 1987 for the great and courageous work he did to bring about peace in the Americas.



Yes, Costa Rica still has no military. They also have no oil or any known resources.  Education is their oil and it is the anchor for almost every facet of life. Teaching is the most prestigious and precious calling-card for every citizen. If you want to win elections in Costa Rica, it is not money that you need to have. No, if you are lucky to have parents or even better still grand parents who were teachers, you have nothing to fear. Teaching is the most prestigious engagement and that is why they can afford to be a country without an Army and still be one of the most peaceful countries. Dr. Arias received the Peace Prize at a period of the greatest display of US power in region. It was a measure of the triumph of moral authority over weapons that he won the Prize with no standing army!



As an aside, let me divert our attention a bit. In our own situation, Nigerians have also demonstrated that if they are truly allowed to make their choices, they value the teacher, his probity and his contribution. Teachers have also received their reward here on earth in ways that Nigerians would seem to have forgotten or do not appreciate. Let me give you some examples: President Shagari was a teacher before politics. He was neither rich nor ambitious for politics. This is why his biography is titled, Beckoned to Serve! Governor Ibrahim Shekarau was a teacher before politics. He won his elections as Governor of Kano State even though he was unemployed and had no house of his own at the time he joined politics. Today, Dr Goodluck Jonathan, who is President of Nigeria was a teacher. Today, both Jonathan and Shekarau are President and Minister of Education respectively. We expect to see qualitative and measurable changes.

Singapore

The world continues to bow to Singapore and South Korea among other Asian countries. Since Nigeria’s return to Democracy, Lee Kwan Yew’s autobiography, From Third World to First has sold more copies in Nigeria than anywhere else in the whole world. President Obasanjo and his successors apparently ensured that all ministers had copies of the book. While it is doubtful if these ministers ever went beyond the first few pages, it is even more doubtful that those who may have managed to read the book had any real intention of borrowing the sense of discipline and patriotism that Mr. Yew so eloquently spoke of. It is a measure of our dilemma that, apart from Alhaji Shehu Shagari, none of our former Heads of State has had the courage to publish an autobiography.



Like others who have been to Singapore, the beauty, order, serenity, and the sense of patriotism, efficiency, dedication and commitment of the Singaporeans, struck me. Most of what the country is today has been attributed to the vision of Lee Kwan Yew. But visions are not enough if you do not build a sound educational system to inspire sharers of your vision to see through your window. Lee himself speaks about the deliberate efforts he made to reserve and recruit some of the most brilliant minds into public life and politics. Neither patriotism nor anything else in life can be left to chance.



For example, there is a fascinating educational grid in Singapore that ensures that all Singaporean children acquire certain values and traits as they go through the system. It is organised in such a way that all children are literally indoctrinated to achieve an already defined outcome. The result is that in the end, there is a set of shared values that all children imbibe from primary to secondary and junior college. That means that by the time one finishes

junior College and is ready for university between the ages of 16-18, these values would already have been deeply ingrained. This ensures that after 18, when one has become an adult and is released into the larger society, one is fully equipped with what it is to be a Singaporean citizen, prepared to take his/her place in society.

Moving Forward in Nigeria through Education

We do not need to look far to know why our nation has seemingly lost its soul. Education which constitutes the backbone, the central nervous system, of any nation has collapsed in our country. It is not as if the system has been taken over by bad men and women. No. It is just that we have had a complete system collapse, triggered by years of military rule which had total disregard for systems and processes. It is not that bad or unpatriotic soldiers governed us. On the contrary, with all the derision and criticisms, we have had some of the most patriotic leaders who actually were convinced that they were doing their best for this nation. Sadly, they were like men driving expensive cars, driving real hard, but in the wrong direction. This has resulted in a fractured society with no shared values and no clear navigational aids.

Today, from top to bottom, the rut is noticeable. The noble ideas behind the engagement of the Federal government’s involvement in education have been compromised by a combination of wrong policy options and poor vigilance. The noble ideas for national unity behind the establishment and funding of institutions like the Federal Government Unity Colleges, Federal Special Science Colleges, Federal Colleges of Education, Federal Universities, Polytechnics and so on have been reduced to mere fiefdoms at the mercy of local cabals.

Appointments, promotions and so on have been hijacked by local tribal, regional and religious war lords who see these institutions as federal government patronage to their territory while a morally weakened Federal Government sees these institutions as extensions of domains of patronage to the local elites. The bureaucrats, politicians and public officers have filled up these Federal schools with their children not because they measure up but because of nepotism. The result is that the sense of common citizenship and nationhood that guided these visions has been severely compromised. How can these institutions possibly breed graduates that can, as they say in Singapore, know, believe and dream of what it takes to lead Nigeria?

In fairness to ex President Obasanjo, he did a lot in his second term to reverse the rot in education. He set up universal platforms to initiatives to bridge the gaps and deficits in the educational system from primary to the university. The problems here relate to the fact that the state governments have turned these boards into platforms for patronage of their political cronies. There is more emphasis on procurements, construction, renovation and other avenues for slush funds.

Given the complexity of our nation, can we find a professor of Fulfulde in the University of Ibadan, a Professor of Tiv in Benin, or a professor  of Hausa in Uyo, or a professor  of Efik in Usman Dan Fodio? Are there specialists in Nok or Ife civilizations in the University of Madiguri or specialists in the Sokoto caliphate in the University of Lagos? Are our universities prepared to confront the demons of our past historical experiences? Can a Fulani professor teach history of the civil war, or an Igbo professor  specialise in the history of the caliphate? What will the results of their research look like? These are the demons that the academia must confront if we are to dredge up and confront our common histories and narratives. This incestuous territoriality and domestication of the academia has stunted national politics and discourse and the result is that even the best of our academicians are vulnerable to be bait of their regional, religious and ethnic hegemons. Can we carry on like this and hope to build a nation?

Undoubtedly, and not withstanding all our difficulties, we can still make progress. There needs to be some very vigorous competition for excellence and professional achievement among our Universities. At a local level, we should be asking how many National Merit awardees our university has produced, which university has produced more renowned scientists in the various fields and so on? Is the hope for a Nobel Prize in Science being nurtured in some laboratory somewhere in this country?  There is need for universities to address the issues of self-sufficiency. The way to do this has to be by research, endowments and consultancies with academicians interested not in their own self-serving projects but in the development of their Department, Faculty or University.

Universities must seek to position themselves so that their research results can change their environments. Since the federal government decided to pool resources by setting up a body like TETFUND, many Universities seem to have gone to sleep, merely waiting for funds to come from that body. The Universities must do more to ensure that they achieve some level of independence so that they can become insulated from politics and politicians who wish to continue to see them as extensions of their political fiefdoms. There is need to energise the Alumni Offices so as to reposition our Universities to become more competitive.

Going forward, Nigeria must address the need to deliberately plan how to raise up a huge army of professionals covering all fields, especially in the Sciences,developing expertise to address our domestic and international needs. This means that the Government must turn to the Universities, immediately free them from the stranglehold of politicians and deliberately seek how best to return the academic community to its days of glory as an incubator of new ideas to drive progress.

Can the universities recover from the choking hold of ethno-centricism to which they have been consigned today and become mere expressions of ethnic, religious or regional hegemonies? In the hey days, we had Professor E. A. Ayandele, Gilbert Onuaguluchi and Professor G. Tasie as Vice Chancellors for the University of Jos, from its inception in 1971-1994. University of Ibadan had the phenomenal historian, Onwuka Dike, Horatio Thomas and Tekena Tamuno, the first alumnus as Vice Chancellors. The first Vice Chancellor of the University of Lagos was not a Yoruba man, but Professor Eni Njoku. Ahmadu Bello University and the University of Benin had Professor Akingubge and Adamu Bakie as Vice Chancellors. Our universities are now severely constrained and can hardly serve as vehicles for national integration.

3: 2: The Bureaucracy as a Vehicle for Healing

This is not the place to discuss either the notion of Bureaucracy or its origins in Nigeria’s national life. Max Weber has addressed these issues in his theories of the Bureaucracy. Weber’s Seven Rules of the Bureaucracy remains a timeless take-off point: Fixed Division of Labour (to avoid whimsical caprice of moving people from one point of labour to the other), Hierarchy of offices (the guarantee of authority and each knowing his or her place), Rational-Legal authority (by which everyone knows where they legally derive their powers from), Governance performance rules (by which everyone knows their place and ensures stability), Separation of private from official properties (to avoid conflict of interest), Selection based on qualification (to avoid nepotism and arbitrariness) and finally, a Clarity of career path (through a steady ladder of promotion). Imperfect as these have been, they have continued to guide the Bureaucracy as a viable vehicle for service delivery.

Successive governments have made serious attempts at improving the quality and capacity of the Bureaucracy to deliver efficient results and services to Nigerians. From the 1963 Morgan Commission, through Simeon Adebo, Jerome Udoji right up to the Stephen Orosanya Panels, the Bureaucracy has often been drowned in the ocean of its own papers. However, despite a deluge of paper, Commissions, Committees and Panels over the years, not much has been achieved due to the volatility of the bureaucracy itself and the arrival of too many heads of government with little preparation and knowledge of the system. The military compounded all this by their actions and so an institution which elsewhere has always operated under a strict code of discipline, process, and procedure was soon reduced to the whims and caprices of the military authorities.

The rules guiding the Civil Service, such as threats, sanctions, promotion exams and so on, are well known to civil servants but most of this energy remains lost in the system. The Civil Service has continued to reinvent the rules to accommodate and domesticate public service into personal fiefdoms. As the years have rolled by, we have witnessed the gradual erosion of the values and culture of public service. In between these bouts of frustration, we hear the nostalgic wails of an Alison Ayida, Philip Asiodu,Ahmed Joda, or Adamu Fika, about what might have beenin the years past.

A scholar, M. Sani Abdallah, in a reflection on the Service, noted that: Whereas the civil service rule prevents officials from engaging in any economic endeavour except Agriculture, official duty has become the side business for the well connected officials while their various private businesses are their real concern. Civil servants are now engaged in any and every business. He identified areas within the system, which continue to provide avenues for civil servants to subvert the system, and noted as one of the most lucrative platforms the area of Public Procurement.

Despite there being an Act along with rules and regulations, he argues that: Officials make proposals not because they believe the item to be procured is of any value or in the public interest. Often times, these procurements are never installed. There is the popular belief that there is hardly any procurement concluded especially in Abuja without top officials reaping a handsome gratifications or houses, cash and sponsored exotic holidays. He cited the multi billion naira CCTV Camera project in Abuja as a good example of the many failed public procurement initiatives that merely re-enforce this culture of theft. The stories of Ghost workers, scams in the Pension Sections of the various Government Agencies, abandoned projects, payments for unexecuted jobs, employment rackets are some of the areas of immense graft in the Civil service.

It would be wrong to look at this issue in isolation as if the Civil service is merely a forest of crime and criminals. On the contrary, there are many honest, patriotic and dedicated Nigerians who are helplessly held captive by a corrupt political elite that has continued to hold the entire system to ransom. We cannot confront the rut in the Civil Service today without addressing the way and manner that successive military and civilian administrations have continued to tamper with its rules and culture. Greedy politicians and their political appointees insist on making the bureaucracy serve their interests.

The failure or the weakness in the Civil Service today is a combination of factors. How long we shall be on this road and whether we shall climb out sooner rather than later remains to be seen. Our future lies in what we need to do to truncate the gargantuan appetite of public officers in our country. Resolving this is the duty and responsibility of whistle blowers within civil society and the arms of government, law enforcement agencies and the courts. If we do not reverse this ugly trend, the Civil Service will merely continue to increase the depth of the fracture of the Nigerian state, thus, making healing impossible. If the civil service can be made to serve our people, it will indeed be a great vehicle for healing the wounds inflicted by our massive oceans of poverty.

3: 3: Politics as a Vehicle for Healing

It is difficult to imagine where to start assessing African politics. Both Aristotle and Plato dwelt on the nobility of politics and its inevitability in our human genes. Politics remains so far the most noble of all tools for organising society.

Politics is about the management and allocation of resources for the benefit of the greatest number of people in any given society. Democracy has been adopted as the most popular form of expressing political choices especially in diverse societies. Political Parties are the platforms which people with common visions congregate to seek power. They seek the mandate of the people to govern by articulating their visions through Manifestoes. Political parties are managed by their own guidelines but also according to the provisions of the nation’s laws. The Electoral management bodies provide the rules of engagement and they are serve as referees. Once these platforms have come into being, politics takes a life of its own competition of among parties ought to become routine. In settled Democracies, politics has become part and parcel of life and it has been adopted as a vehicle for development and integration.

Sadly, for us in Africa, Politics has deteriorated into an instrument of war and death. As a vehicle for ascent to power, it has caused far more destruction than perhaps any other institution in Africa. Nigeria’s failure presents us with one of the most ignoble manifestations of this dance of death called politics whose corrosive effect is shattering our communities. Today, Nigeria’s politics is choking from the stranglehold of godfathers who have turned the parties into fiefdoms.

Why has politics failed to heal our people in Nigeria? Whyhave we been unable to raise a political class worthy of the name of politics? Is Democracy alien to us or is our culture unable to develop a democratic reflex? Will Democracy further divide us or heal us as a people? Will the high cost of getting into public office continue to gnaw at our body politic, further deepening the ostracisation of the weak and the vulnerable from the table of opportunity in a nation so richly endowed? How long can we contain the lava of frustration and anger some of which has been spewed and is being spewed by Boko Haram? For a nation used to seeing politics and government as means of mere self-gratification, are the likely losers of the next elections already preparing their armies to ensure that the country remains ungovernable if their candidate does not win?

Despite the much-touted flaws in the 2007 elections, Professor Maurice Iwu, the then INEC Chairman remained quite upbeat about its perceived success. In a television interview recently, he argued that when he was given the job, the then President Obasanjo said all they wanted was a successful election that would guarantee three years of back-to-back, uninterrupted elections. In his view, this was where the success of the elections lay. This is not an insignificant point and its hidden meaning should not be lost on Nigerians. The fact that imperfect elections were greeted with judicial processes not a call for the military is quite important for the deepening of our Democracy. It means that while rejecting flaws in the processes, we must seek to resolve them through the legal and democratic processes.

Whatever may be the strength of that argument, we can now boast that we have gone ahead and doubled the back-back achievement. That being the case, one would expect that by now, going into the fifth elections, Nigerian politicians and the electorate should be supremely confident. We would by now be proud of the fact that we have clear ideas about what to do and what outcomes to expect, that the political class would have learnt the rules and predisposed themselves to accepting the rules of engagement and the outcomes. Sadly, if what we see is anything to go by, the politicians have learnt nothing and forgotten nothing. They seem to have perfected their rules of perfidy, they seem determined to enact their own rules and have come to the conclusion that violence must be in the DNA of Nigerian politics. With allegations of imposition across the parties and both Governors and Senators at loggerheads over access to Senate slots, it remains to be seen how this will impact on the process. The future lies with whether the politicians themselves decide to play the game in the most mature and patriotic manner.

How else do we explain the tremor, the palpitation of our collective hearts and the splitting headache that characterizes the 2015 elections? In my encounter with journalists in the last one-year, no interview is complete without reference to what is often presented as the looming clouds around the 2015 elections. Yet, rather than worrying about the quality of those who will participate in the process and ensuring a transparent process of elections, the Parties are showing signs that they have merely improved on the quality of their desperation for power. The dictatorship inherent in the imposition of party candidates, the stupendous display of ill-gotten wealth that has turned our experiment into a plutocracy, are all causes for anxiety. The stranglehold of the Governors over the entire party apparatus of power has led one commentator to refer to what we have as a Governorcracy, rather than a Democracy. The Governors have become mini gods, presiding over fiefdoms with literally powers over life and death. Their tight grip and control of the electoral rigging machines in their states is total.

Two weeks ago, I chaired an event organized by Civil Society groups to enable them get an update on the state of INEC’s preparedness for the next elections. I was quite impressed with Professor Jega’s eloquent demonstration of the fact that INEC had learnt quite a lot of lessons and had deployed some technological innovation to ensure that the elections are free, fair and transparent. INEC ‘s preparations can be thrown into the garbage can if the political class persists in its wayward and criminal ways. The entire political class must concede that politics must become a vehicle for healing. Going forward, we must ask, what options do we have? I will list and address three of these options.

To learn from the history of northern domination:Develop the skills for managing diversity and creating a sense of national identity


First, is the issue of how we responded to the post-colonial state that was handed over to us by the British. In my book, Religion, Politics and Power, I have clearly demonstrated the fact that the British distrusted the southern educated elite whom they considered too troublesome (in asking for independence), and feared they would create too many problems for them. Their wish to hand over power to the North was not in doubt and was clearly illustrated in even the geographical decisions that were taken in the allocation of regions and populations. The dominant role assigned to Islam then as now enabled the northern elite to consolidate their stranglehold on power in a way and manner that further deepened the anxieties of both their non-Muslim constituencies and the larger society outside its boundaries. There was little or no sensitivity in addressing the lingering feelings of alienation that had been captured in the Report of the Minorities Commission in 1958. Tribunals, Conferences, Commissions and Committees have done very little to ameliorate the grievances and trauma of the minorities.

Discussions about northern domination have been clouded by churlish and fragmented arguments over distributions of Industries or allocation of offices and so on between the north and south, Christian and Muslim. Little attention was paid to developing strategies for the co-operation and collaboration of the various communities even in the north itself. Allegations of open and blatant discrimination against non-Muslims in most northern states in areas such as federal representation, the takeover of Mission schools with no compensation, the lack of a clear policy of integration, all deepened angst and frustration and distrust. Barely five years after independence, these frustrations were already bubbling over in the form of political violence.

The Tiv riots in the Middle Belt in 1964, and the violence in the Midwest, popularly known as operation wetie, in 1965, became the preludes to the coup and then civil war which followed. When the civil war broke out, it inflicted the deepest fracture and shattered the optimism captured by TIME Magazine just five years earlier. The point here is that if we are to heal the fractures in our nation, our leaders and people must effectively think through very clearly how to develop the skills for managing diversity, sharing power and creating a sense of national identity and belonging.

To learn from the history of state creations and on-going oppressions:
Understand the social structure of society and the distinctiveness of its groups

Second, the military responded to these crises by adopting state fracture as a solution. The creation of states out of the old regional arrangement generated a lot of excitement and cries of independence across the land.Each time a new state was created, the minority elites who had felt oppressed by the dominant group whether by virtue of religion, ethnicity or class, felt the new space was an opportunity to breathe fresh air. They went on to celebrate their independence by reproducing the same dynamics of perceived oppression that they had experienced. The oppression is usually related to the skewed distribution of state offices, especially what Nigerians call juicy offices by the local elites Sooner orlater, the logic flows all the way through and yesterday’s victims become today’s oppressors. The oppressed then begin to demand for their own space within which to also oppress others. This is what explains the upsurge in the demands for States, new Local Government Areas, Emirates, Chiefdoms and Kingdoms. The cumulative impact of all this is what we see in the rise of ethnic, religious or regional loyalties and the diminishing interest in national unity. This must be revised if we are to heal nationally.

Resolving these distortions requires deep critical and analytical knowledge, a high degree of imagination and courage, which no single Nigerian leader has been able to bring to the table. All through, we have had office holders whose obsession with clinging to raw power has blinded them to these processes. Without a clear understanding of the social structure of a society and the distinctiveness of its groups, it is impossible to design a satisfactory system that can unite them together. There are too many people officers who are governing over their people but know next to nothing about the even the ethnic composition of these communities. One of the key demands for a place in public life must be that Nigerians must show that they are familiar with the history, culture and structure of the Nigerian society. There are too many ill informed people in public life.

iii. To learn from the illusion of a binary North-South, Christian-Muslim universe: see an end to the manipulation of religion, ethnicity, and region in election processes

Third, is the very irritating fallacy of representation in power. Carrying on with what the British left behind, the political elite has deepened our differences by focusing on North and South, Christians and Muslims as categories of power sharing mechanisms. Yet, the British operated in this binary universe because it suited them: it kept us divided and we could therefore never rally around to deal with our issues as citizens. Tragically, but not surprisingly, the military and the political elite have sustained this illusion of our division and they have carried it as a vehicle of mending the fracture of our pain.

Recently, General Obasanjo, our former President who we believe should know better, has persisted with this dubious construct by warning the political parties against fielding Presidential and Vice Presidential candidates from one faith. This observation is a measure of how little we have progressed in understanding the heart of Democracy. President Obasanjo is speaking as a military man who benefited from this duplicitous army arrangement that has been carried into what is at best a mockery of Democracy. Let us subject this piece of illogic to reason and the realities of the Nigerian experience.

First, if this dubious arrangement were the solution to our problems, why did President Obasanjo and Atiku fight all the way through their Presidency? Secondly, why did huge majorities of Igbos and Yorubas, or call them Christians, vote massively for the late General Yar’adua in an election that was cancelled by a northerner, General Babangida? Thirdly, how and why did huge majorities of Christians across this country massively vote for Chief Abiola and Kingibe in 1993? And before then, why are we still a bit nostalgic about the Buhari-Idiagbon regime with all its skewed regional and religious preferences? As an aside, we might only pose the question: would the Muslim elite especially in Northern Nigeria even have contemplated supporting a ticket of two Christians, then as now? Muslims in Nigeria must  reflect on their sincerity in this regard.

This thesis is at best, a shibboleth, no more than a heuristic device which hides the fear of the consequences of our people’s choices if they were to be exercised freely. The primary kernel of Democracy is choice and its essence is the efficacious management of diverse groups and interests. For example, in all honesty, General Buhari knows that his greatest opposition is not Christians but the Muslim elite in the north. Therefore, to continue to hoist this mannequin on the window of our Democracy is to take us back and to dig us deeper into the cesspool of atavism, stoking our worst fears and keeping us permanently on the boil. If we remain on this path, we will never defeat violence, we will never have free and fair elections, we will never see an end to the manipulation of religion, ethnicity, and region.

To push this further, we should appreciate that the religious identity is just one out of many identities that make up our social structure as a society. Why do we suggest that a religious identity is more important than gender or class? If we push this logic, then why are we assuming that justice has been done when two men run and no provision is being made for women? Or, put another way, why notfield, Old and Young, or Rich and Poor, or Tall and Short,Male or Female candidates in our elections? The challenge is whether our politicians are prepared to subject themselves to the scrutiny and discipline that the rules and dictates of Democracy demand. The only qualification anyone has for contesting office in our country is and should be the fact that they are citizens of Nigeria. How they organise to achieve this must only be decided by its legality and compliance with the rules of engagement, not sentiments and emotions. Let experience expose the foolishness or otherwise of these decisions.

4: The so called, impending collapse of Nigeria in 2015?

Before I conclude, I would like to say a few words about the thorny issue of the future of our nation. As I said earlier, everywhere one turns, we hear the tales of gloom about Nigeria’s impending collapse. The Boko Haram insurgency is being touted as the final evidence. It would seem that in this popular narrative, the 2015 elections will mark the final phase of this scenario.

I feel quite sad about this development because although this story has been making the rounds for some five or so years now, it has increasingly taken a life of its own, climbing all the way from the ise ewu joints, meetings of tribal associations to some serious academic institutions and finally, even into the heart of government. This prediction accounts for the reason why Nigerians are now blaming the United States for not working hard enough to help us end the Boko Haram insurgency. Others have created even a bizarre scenario linking the United States with Boko Haram. This tragedy would have been a subject of debate and could be taken as part of our conspiracy theories if ever it were founded on some reason and common sense. Now, Nigerians are already moving or planning to move in different directions for fear that the 2015 elections will be the fulfilment of the American prophesy of doom.

However, the thesis that Nigeria would collapse as a nation initially evolved from a report released in January 2005 as the proceedings of a one day conference on US experts on Africa. The consultation was sponsored by the National Intelligence Council under the auspices of the Office for Africa. The thrust was to discuss trends in Sub Saharan Africa over the next fifteen years with the United States’concern being primarily to ensure its security and interests. This is in keeping with America’s concern over its power and dominance in world affairs. The United States takes very seriously its role and place in the world, how to secure and continue its dominance and to ensure that no one threatens these interests. The US is not unaware of the fact that its power and dominance are under threat by other forces and it has refused to leave anything to chance. The report has some staggering conclusions which have proved its experts right. Let me take just five key issues highlighted in the report to illustrate this point. Among other issues, the Report calls to attention the following:

the level of violence in Africa is unlikely to change appreciably in the next 15 years. Most conflicts will be internal. Many African security forces will undergo further atrophy due to low economic growth, shrinking foreign military aid, and the impact of AIDS.
Africa is unlikely to become a major supplier of international terrorists due to the profound differences between Islam practiced in Africa and in the Middle East. Foreign terrorists, however, may seek sanctuary in Africa or attempt to hide weapons and assets there. The overwhelming majority of terrorist activity in Africa will involve or be caused by indigenous groups waging war against local governments and populations.
the most important terrorist-related trend in Africa affecting the United States is the further development of pockets of radical Islam that actively provide support and sanctuary to international terrorists. Most African countries will continue to proclaim a public adherence to democracy and no other form of government will significantly challenge the nominal allegiance to regular elections; however, commitment to democracy in Africa will remain a “mile wide and inch thick”.
While Nigeria’s leaders are locked in a bad marriage that all dislike, but dare not leave, there are possibilities that could disrupt the precarious equilibrium in Abuja.
An overwhelming majority of terrorism in Africa will be caused by indigenous groups waging war against their own or neighbouring governments or against other population groups, defined by religion or ethnicity.
The Report went on to single out northern Nigeria, pointing out how radical Islam, supported by some northern Muslim politicians will continue to be funded largely by Saudi Arabia and the threat that this will continue to pose. Looking back, it is hard to find a more embarrassing reflection of the lack of seriousness on the part of Nigerian government in terms of how it defines or conceives of its security. Intelligence is not mere acquisition of weapons. In a serious country, the business of intelligence is a robust intellectual exercise. Governments all over the world do this by securing the support of Think Tanks, Universities, commissioning, sponsoring and supporting serious research in areas and countries that night negatively or positively impact on our country’s interests. Rather than face these realities, senior Foreign and intelligence government officials in Nigeria resort to intimidating the messenger and calling them enemies of Nigeria. A simple example of this is how we have dealt with the matter of Dr. John Campbell, the former US Ambassador to Nigeria whose penetrating insights and prognostications about Islam in Nigeria continue to prove true to our collective embarrassment.

It is not the fault of other countries that the Nigerian leadership has not been able to consider strategic thinking as a vital tool for strategic development. It is not enough that Nigeria is producing oil and has a huge population. It is important that the leadership in Nigeria defines its interests very clearly. We hear much talk about this but there is no policy clarity and vision. The Office of the National Security Adviser is the brain box of the nation and should therefore not be seen only in purely military terms. This is borne out of our military past. Evidence of a tough intellectual understanding of world politics and strategic thinking should be the preoccupation of that office and not merely the acquisition of military hardware.

Why is Nigeria not thinking beyond its borders? Why is Nigeria not concerned about the threat to its interests from Alaska to Zimbabwe? Why are we only focusing on those who hate us, or those who are conspiring against us? In a serious country, the University communities and Think Tanks should have been buzzing with analysis of these claims. But, does it not worry us that while the United States of America has designed tools and is thinking and projecting about our future in the next fifteen years, we are merely panicking about the next few months? Leadership is about prophecy and prophecy is not foretelling the future, but a mere projection of the future based on present realities as we see them. Acquiring these tools and these platforms for forecasting or mapping our future is an inevitable part of our Democracy that requires substantial investment. It is a challenge that our Universities must take up as an annual ritual. We should therefore not blame America. We should be courageous enough to learn from them and plan our future.

5: Summary and Conclusion: Leadership and the Courage to Heal

I have argued in this paper that Nigeria is riddled with fractures. The first was the fracture of the colonial state. Subsequent scars have been inflicted by the succeeding military and political elites, leaving the country scar-faced. In my view, the effects of those fractures are responsible for the endless cycles of violent protestations that afflict our dear nation. I have argued that there are many vehicles that can be designed to help heal our fractures. I chose to look at three and I know that there are many more. By skipping the Judiciary, I may be accused of leaving out a very important institution and I do perfectly agree. However, the Lecture cannot address everything and indeed, I believe that this conversation is not conclusive. To return to where we started, how do we heal our fractured nation? How did we throw away the opportunities for greatness which TIME Magazine predicted? Where did we take the wrong turn? Let me make my point by relating a little personal story that might hold a few lessons for the point that I am making.

I spent some of my early years with my grandmother and she was, then as now, my favourite person of all time. I was of course pampered but I still have one or two painful memories of my life with her that have impacted my life. I will share one with you.

One day, I picked up an injury while playing my cousins. I got a cut behind my shin. I hid it from my grandmother because I feared that she would stop me from playing and I did not want her to feel vindicated since she had often warned me. Then it became painful and I began to limp. She noticed it and waited for a perfect time to confront me. I came back from school and after I had eaten, she deliberately sent me on an errand. I walked out and after a few steps, she called me back. You are limping, what is wrong with your leg, she said. Nothing, I muttered, it is only a small injury. Where is it? she asked. I showed her, even though I suspected she had already seen it. It was right behind my shin and clearly the wound had gotten far worse than I knew.

She waited patiently until a Saturday when we did not have to go school. I did not know that she had arranged for an ordeal for me. It seemed that a plot had been hatched to get hold of me. My uncle called me and I thought he wanted to send me on an errand, so I innocently went to him. He grabbed me and two of my other cousins who seemed to have been part of the plot emerged from nowhere. They all held me and turned me face down andwent to work. I have no idea of the details of what followed but the pain of that ordeal never left me. While they held me down, my grandmother used sliced lime to clean the wound which had begun to fester. Even now, I do not recall any other ordeal half as painful as what I went through that day. But that was the beginning of the end of my wound whose scar I still carry till date.

I am telling this story because the reasons for Nigeria’s festering wound have been the subject of subterfuge; but, deceit and machination must be lanced and cleansed. The military and the political elites have tried to solve Nigeria’s problems by presenting the symptoms as a disease. State and Local Government creation only deepened our wounds and those wounds are still festering. We now believe that we can resolve our problems by creating new fractures even when the old fractures have not healed.

The colonial state did an excellent job of trying to hold ourdiverse communities together. We often get carried away with colonialism and fail to learn some great lessons from the way the colonial project was executed. An understanding of this will help us understand the longevity of the project, its relative peace and its ability to first impose its will and dominance and finally to acquire control through co-option and integration. Getting the defeated caliphate on its side required some incredible diplomacy. But this came about as a result of an amalgam of forces that were chiselled together by the skill and knowledge that the British brought to the project. Prior to the conquest and afterwards, the British recruited and co-opted Anthropologists, Bureaucrats, Explorers, Historians, the Military officers. Colonialism was sustained by a combination of the knowledge of these experts to develop policies of the colonial state.

So, what has happened that the succeeding Nigerian elites have proved totally incapable of managing the inheritance? The reasons are many but they are not unrelated to the accidental processes by which all our Former Heads of State and Presidents have come to power. The average newcomer to the presidency of Nigeria comes totally unprepared, with no knowledge of the environment itself, no experience in public life, no knowledge of the bureaucracy or those who run the system, no knowledge of politics and power derived from some years of loyal pupillage.

Countries in transition, whether from colonialism, military or civilian dictatorships, require a certain set of skills. These include, a clarity of vision, an understanding of the country, the people, the resources and its challenges. He has to develop the ability to read the mood of his people and their expectation, communicate the challenges, create synergy and develop a most effective strategy for holding his diverse people and their ambitions, fears and hopes together. Most importantly, is the courage needed to lance a few boils despite the inherent pain. We have a few examples to draw from.

Transitional leaders like President Abraham Lincoln,Fredrick D. Roosevelt or a Churchill of yester years or those of our modern times like Mikhail Gorbachev, Margaret Thatcher, Lee Kwan Yew, P.W. de Klerk and Nelson Mandela have left us some of the lessons I am speaking about. Some times, two leaders arrive on the scene at the same time, face the same challenges and their decisions change history. A few examples are, President Roosevelt, Churchill and Stalin who confronted Nazism in Germany. Pope John Paul 11 who with President Reagan and Mrs Margaret Thatcher who teamed up with Gorbachev and helped to end Communism and bring about a new world order. Another example is the courageous Williem de Klerk who paired up with Nelson Mandela and presided over the funeral rites of apartheid.

President Lincoln’s resolute commitment to ending slavery in the United States was at the heart of his private engagement as a lawyer even before he got into politics. Lincoln believed that fighting to end slavery was a battle he was prepared to live and die for. Over two hundred years later, Mandela would state the same sentiments during the Rivonia trial when he said freedom was something he was prepared to die for. Indeed, on the day he signed the Emancipation Proclamation, on December 31st, 1863, Lincoln stated: If my name ever goes into history, it will be for this act, and my whole soul is in it.

A leader must have a vision that is larger than his personal ambition. He must therefore know where the good of the nation starts and where his personal ambition ends. All the great leaders of the world always knew when to bow out after they believed their vision had been accomplished. The tragic contrast is illustrated in the African situation where our leaders have buried the future of their nations in the wombs of their personal ambitions as we see in the gerontocratic tragedies that still afflict the continent and have stunted the growth of our Democracies and freedoms.

Franklin Delano Roosevelt, the only American President to have served four terms and the 32nd President of the United States (March 1933-April1945) stands shoulder to shoulder with Abraham Lincoln in many respects. His legacy and memory in the history of the United States is tied to hisvision called the New Deal, a reconstruction and rehabilitation programme that enabled him to team up with his political opponents at home and abroad to achieve a most spectacular record four terms of office as President.

Under the New deal coalition, he mobilized Republicans and others around his themes and programme beyond the shores of the United States; he mobilized Churchill andStalin to confront Nazism. His spectacular initiatives would later lay the foundation for the emergence of such historic institutions like the United Nations, the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund. Little wonder, after a war, he still campaigned on the theme song, Happy Days are here again. His policies gave the Democrats an unprecedented control of Government in the United States over a long period of time.

In conclusion, all transitional societies carry fractures, but identifying them is a challenge that requires certain leadership skills. As I have illustrated, our beloved country remains severely fractured because too many citizens are, in the words of Abraham Lincoln, half slave, half freedespite over fifty years of independence and huge resources. Boko Haram is merely a metaphor for understanding the depth and extent of our fractured nation.

Boko Haram is the fruit of a country whose leadership has not had the courage to break the eggs of different identities to make the omelette of a united country. The undefined role of the feudal institutions continues to get in the way of our building a united nation, not because there is anything wrong with ethnic identity, but becauseincreasingly, our sense of nationhood and loyalty to a common flag and Constitution remain subordinated to other loyalties. This has left a huge vacuum that Boko Haram has exploited.

Confronting what seemed like a rag tag army of misguided fanatics has turned into an nightmare and has further exposed the underbelly of our nation. We have watched helplessly as the competence and commitment of members of the Nigerian military has been tested. Wrong diagnosis has led to a total misreading of the context of the war and our inability to identify the best strategy for fighting the war. Now, before our own eyes, it is an unconventional gathering of illiterate hunters who are now scoring victories where the Nigerian military has failed. There could not be a further metaphorical expression of our predicament. The people of Nigeria must note that there are lessons for us. The collapse of the Army is usually the prelude to state collapse. The stories of the collapse of the armies in Democratic Republic of Congo, Liberia and Sierra Leone are all before us.  We know what followed.


Our fractures have been the result of bad politics. However, it would be suicidal for us to think that the process of healing should be left to the politicians. Healing our nation is too serious a business to be left to our politicians. Those who aspire to lead us must know who we are and what our fears, anxieties and hopes are. When they win our votes, they ought to know what to do because they have asked to lead us and our votes have given them to job. Creating a team of rivals should then be the real challenge. This is why vigilance on our part remains a key part of politics. The time to start is now and the place to start is here. Thank you very much. God bless Nigeria.

*Matthew Hassan Kukah, Catholic Bishop of Sokoto Diocese presented this as

Convocation Lecture  at the University of Uyo, Uyo, Akwa Ibom State,